**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wellington on July 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 2?
13°C 46%
12°C 39%
11°C 9%
14°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.07.02
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
9%
12°C
39%
13°C
46%
14°C
8%
15°C
3%
16°C or higher
1%
13°C 46%
12°C 39%
11°C 9%
14°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.07.02
6°C or below
$7 거래량
1%
7°C
$10 거래량
1%
8°C
$10 거래량
1%
9°C
$72 거래량
3%
10°C
$11 거래량
3%
11°C
$122 거래량
9%
12°C
$132 거래량
39%
13°C
$157 거래량
46%
14°C
$80 거래량
8%
15°C
$31 거래량
3%
16°C or higher
$37 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$671종료일
2026.07.02마켓 개설일
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$671종료일
2026.07.02마켓 개설일
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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