Current forecasts for Jeddah on July 4 center on a maximum near 37–38 °C under sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly flow, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. The spread across 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C+ reflects typical ensemble-model dispersion for coastal Red Sea sites, where sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical July climatology shows daily highs averaging 37 °C with occasional excursions above 40 °C when regional subsidence strengthens; recent model runs and satellite observations indicate stable high pressure without strong thermal anomalies, keeping the 39 °C threshold plausible but not favored. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 4?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 4?
39°C or higher 63%
38°C 19%
37°C 12%
36°C 7%
신규
신규
2026.07.04
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
4%
36°C
7%
37°C
12%
38°C
19%
39°C or higher
63%
39°C or higher 63%
38°C 19%
37°C 12%
36°C 7%
신규
신규
2026.07.04
29°C or below
$2 거래량
<1%
30°C
$0 거래량
<1%
31°C
$0 거래량
<1%
32°C
$0 거래량
<1%
33°C
$83 거래량
<1%
34°C
$405 거래량
<1%
35°C
$65 거래량
4%
36°C
$100 거래량
7%
37°C
$0 거래량
12%
38°C
$94 거래량
19%
39°C or higher
$831 거래량
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Jeddah on July 4 center on a maximum near 37–38 °C under sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly flow, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. The spread across 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C+ reflects typical ensemble-model dispersion for coastal Red Sea sites, where sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical July climatology shows daily highs averaging 37 °C with occasional excursions above 40 °C when regional subsidence strengthens; recent model runs and satellite observations indicate stable high pressure without strong thermal anomalies, keeping the 39 °C threshold plausible but not favored. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
거래량
$1,580종료일
2026.07.04마켓 개설일
Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Jeddah on July 4 center on a maximum near 37–38 °C under sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly flow, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. The spread across 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C+ reflects typical ensemble-model dispersion for coastal Red Sea sites, where sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical July climatology shows daily highs averaging 37 °C with occasional excursions above 40 °C when regional subsidence strengthens; recent model runs and satellite observations indicate stable high pressure without strong thermal anomalies, keeping the 39 °C threshold plausible but not favored. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$1,580종료일
2026.07.04마켓 개설일
Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ETCurrent forecasts for Jeddah on July 4 center on a maximum near 37–38 °C under sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly flow, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. The spread across 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C+ reflects typical ensemble-model dispersion for coastal Red Sea sites, where sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical July climatology shows daily highs averaging 37 °C with occasional excursions above 40 °C when regional subsidence strengthens; recent model runs and satellite observations indicate stable high pressure without strong thermal anomalies, keeping the 39 °C threshold plausible but not favored. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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