Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 4?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 4?
21°C 37%
22°C 26%
23°C 18%
20°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.07.04
19°C or below
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
37%
22°C
26%
23°C
18%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
21°C 37%
22°C 26%
23°C 18%
20°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.07.04
19°C or below
$42 거래량
3%
20°C
$3 거래량
8%
21°C
$490 거래량
37%
22°C
$59 거래량
26%
23°C
$158 거래량
18%
24°C
$47 거래량
5%
25°C
$51 거래량
3%
26°C
$135 거래량
<1%
27°C
$5 거래량
<1%
28°C
$5 거래량
<1%
29°C or higher
$0 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
거래량
$996종료일
2026.07.04마켓 개설일
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$996종료일
2026.07.04마켓 개설일
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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