Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles on July 3, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 72–73 °F bin (41 % implied probability). Long-term July averages place daily highs near 81 °F, yet early-month coastal readings frequently settle 5–8 °F lower when stratus persists, consistent with observed highs around 71–74 °F in the final days of June. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore wind event, keeping 70–75 °F ranges favored while capping upside risk for 76 °F or higher outcomes below 10 % combined. Updated short-range forecasts through the holiday weekend will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 3?
72-73°F 74%
74-75°F 19%
70-71°F 9%
76-77°F 3.9%
$73,789 거래량
$73,789 거래량
2026.07.03
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
74%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 74%
74-75°F 19%
70-71°F 9%
76-77°F 3.9%
$73,789 거래량
$73,789 거래량
2026.07.03
67°F or below
$1,010 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$3,939 거래량
3%
70-71°F
$15,312 거래량
9%
72-73°F
$20,373 거래량
74%
74-75°F
$7,177 거래량
19%
76-77°F
$3,827 거래량
4%
78-79°F
$6,488 거래량
1%
80-81°F
$3,003 거래량
<1%
82-83°F
$3,371 거래량
<1%
84-85°F
$7,459 거래량
<1%
86°F or higher
$1,831 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles on July 3, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 72–73 °F bin (41 % implied probability). Long-term July averages place daily highs near 81 °F, yet early-month coastal readings frequently settle 5–8 °F lower when stratus persists, consistent with observed highs around 71–74 °F in the final days of June. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore wind event, keeping 70–75 °F ranges favored while capping upside risk for 76 °F or higher outcomes below 10 % combined. Updated short-range forecasts through the holiday weekend will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
거래량
$73,789종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles on July 3, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 72–73 °F bin (41 % implied probability). Long-term July averages place daily highs near 81 °F, yet early-month coastal readings frequently settle 5–8 °F lower when stratus persists, consistent with observed highs around 71–74 °F in the final days of June. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore wind event, keeping 70–75 °F ranges favored while capping upside risk for 76 °F or higher outcomes below 10 % combined. Updated short-range forecasts through the holiday weekend will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$73,789종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles on July 3, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 72–73 °F bin (41 % implied probability). Long-term July averages place daily highs near 81 °F, yet early-month coastal readings frequently settle 5–8 °F lower when stratus persists, consistent with observed highs around 71–74 °F in the final days of June. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore wind event, keeping 70–75 °F ranges favored while capping upside risk for 76 °F or higher outcomes below 10 % combined. Updated short-range forecasts through the holiday weekend will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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