Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a highest temperature near 18–19°C in Cape Town on July 5, driving the combined 55% market-implied probability on those outcomes amid typical winter variability. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs highlight a transitional synoptic pattern, with the South Atlantic High providing moderate onshore flow while a weak cold front approaches from the southwest, limiting daytime warming under partly cloudy skies and fresh northwesterly winds. Historical July maxima average 17°C with a standard deviation of roughly 3°C, so the spread across 17–21°C bins reflects uncertainty in exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and localized orographic effects around Table Mountain. Short-range updates from NOAA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours, plus any revisions to sea-surface temperature influences, will likely tighten probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 5?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 5?
19°C 46%
18°C 27%
20°C 20%
17°C 5%
신규
신규
2026.07.05
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
27%
19°C
46%
20°C
20%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 46%
18°C 27%
20°C 20%
17°C 5%
신규
신규
2026.07.05
13°C or below
$31 거래량
<1%
14°C
$47 거래량
<1%
15°C
$23 거래량
1%
16°C
$9 거래량
3%
17°C
$75 거래량
5%
18°C
$87 거래량
27%
19°C
$1,654 거래량
46%
20°C
$97 거래량
20%
21°C
$42 거래량
4%
22°C
$45 거래량
1%
23°C or higher
$59 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a highest temperature near 18–19°C in Cape Town on July 5, driving the combined 55% market-implied probability on those outcomes amid typical winter variability. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs highlight a transitional synoptic pattern, with the South Atlantic High providing moderate onshore flow while a weak cold front approaches from the southwest, limiting daytime warming under partly cloudy skies and fresh northwesterly winds. Historical July maxima average 17°C with a standard deviation of roughly 3°C, so the spread across 17–21°C bins reflects uncertainty in exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and localized orographic effects around Table Mountain. Short-range updates from NOAA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours, plus any revisions to sea-surface temperature influences, will likely tighten probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$2,170종료일
2026.07.05마켓 개설일
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a highest temperature near 18–19°C in Cape Town on July 5, driving the combined 55% market-implied probability on those outcomes amid typical winter variability. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs highlight a transitional synoptic pattern, with the South Atlantic High providing moderate onshore flow while a weak cold front approaches from the southwest, limiting daytime warming under partly cloudy skies and fresh northwesterly winds. Historical July maxima average 17°C with a standard deviation of roughly 3°C, so the spread across 17–21°C bins reflects uncertainty in exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and localized orographic effects around Table Mountain. Short-range updates from NOAA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours, plus any revisions to sea-surface temperature influences, will likely tighten probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$2,170종료일
2026.07.05마켓 개설일
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a highest temperature near 18–19°C in Cape Town on July 5, driving the combined 55% market-implied probability on those outcomes amid typical winter variability. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs highlight a transitional synoptic pattern, with the South Atlantic High providing moderate onshore flow while a weak cold front approaches from the southwest, limiting daytime warming under partly cloudy skies and fresh northwesterly winds. Historical July maxima average 17°C with a standard deviation of roughly 3°C, so the spread across 17–21°C bins reflects uncertainty in exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and localized orographic effects around Table Mountain. Short-range updates from NOAA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours, plus any revisions to sea-surface temperature influences, will likely tighten probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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