Trader consensus on Singapore's July 3 peak temperature, with 31°C leading at 33% implied probability amid a broad spread, reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models. Typical southwest monsoon conditions favor afternoon highs near 31°C, modulated by sea surface temperatures, urban heat effects, and convective cloud cover that can suppress maxima through rainfall or enhance them under clearer skies. Historical July climatology shows similar central tendencies with high day-to-day variability. Key variables include model agreement on steering patterns and instability indices; fresh runs from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore or ECMWF could shift odds if they indicate stronger thunderstorms or drier air masses.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Singapore on July 3?
32°C 36%
31°C 33%
30°C 21%
33°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
21%
31°C
33%
32°C
36%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 33%
30°C 21%
33°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
21%
31°C
33%
32°C
36%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on Singapore's July 3 peak temperature, with 31°C leading at 33% implied probability amid a broad spread, reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models. Typical southwest monsoon conditions favor afternoon highs near 31°C, modulated by sea surface temperatures, urban heat effects, and convective cloud cover that can suppress maxima through rainfall or enhance them under clearer skies. Historical July climatology shows similar central tendencies with high day-to-day variability. Key variables include model agreement on steering patterns and instability indices; fresh runs from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore or ECMWF could shift odds if they indicate stronger thunderstorms or drier air masses.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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