Current forecast models for Shanghai indicate overnight lows most likely in the 24–26°C range on July 3, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon flow, high humidity above 75%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows stable warm conditions following the end of the plum rain period, with historical July minimum averages near 25°C and limited variability from typical steering patterns. Recent model runs suggest modest cloud cover or scattered showers could cap any further warming, while uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage keeps probabilities spread across the mid-20s outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 3?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 3?
25°C 37%
24°C 26%
23°C 18%
26°C 7%
신규
신규
2026.07.03
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
18%
24°C
32%
25°C
37%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
3%
25°C 37%
24°C 26%
23°C 18%
26°C 7%
신규
신규
2026.07.03
20°C or below
$72 거래량
1%
21°C
$50 거래량
4%
22°C
$0 거래량
5%
23°C
$0 거래량
18%
24°C
$8 거래량
32%
25°C
$19 거래량
37%
26°C
$5 거래량
7%
27°C
$110 거래량
4%
28°C
$66 거래량
2%
29°C
$27 거래량
1%
30°C or higher
$53 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Shanghai indicate overnight lows most likely in the 24–26°C range on July 3, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon flow, high humidity above 75%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows stable warm conditions following the end of the plum rain period, with historical July minimum averages near 25°C and limited variability from typical steering patterns. Recent model runs suggest modest cloud cover or scattered showers could cap any further warming, while uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage keeps probabilities spread across the mid-20s outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$410종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Shanghai indicate overnight lows most likely in the 24–26°C range on July 3, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon flow, high humidity above 75%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows stable warm conditions following the end of the plum rain period, with historical July minimum averages near 25°C and limited variability from typical steering patterns. Recent model runs suggest modest cloud cover or scattered showers could cap any further warming, while uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage keeps probabilities spread across the mid-20s outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$410종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models for Shanghai indicate overnight lows most likely in the 24–26°C range on July 3, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon flow, high humidity above 75%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows stable warm conditions following the end of the plum rain period, with historical July minimum averages near 25°C and limited variability from typical steering patterns. Recent model runs suggest modest cloud cover or scattered showers could cap any further warming, while uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage keeps probabilities spread across the mid-20s outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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