Recent forecast models for Cape Town point to typical mid-winter conditions on July 3, with daily highs most likely between 14–17°C as a series of cold fronts and a cut-off low sustain cooler-than-average air masses over the Western Cape. This aligns with climatological July averages near 15–17°C and explains the market’s concentration of probability around 15–16°C outcomes. Trader dispersion across 13–19°C brackets reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction for the region’s variable steering patterns and orographic influences from Table Mountain, with resolution depending on the final 24-hour maximum reported by official stations. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely tighten these implied odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 3?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 3?
16°C 42%
15°C 22%
14°C 11%
17°C 9%
신규
신규
2026.07.03
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
11%
15°C
22%
16°C
42%
17°C
9%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
16°C 42%
15°C 22%
14°C 11%
17°C 9%
신규
신규
2026.07.03
9°C or below
$41 거래량
1%
10°C
$71 거래량
1%
11°C
$21 거래량
1%
12°C
$15 거래량
1%
13°C
$76 거래량
5%
14°C
$108 거래량
11%
15°C
$95 거래량
22%
16°C
$3,830 거래량
42%
17°C
$76 거래량
9%
18°C
$83 거래량
2%
19°C or higher
$81 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Cape Town point to typical mid-winter conditions on July 3, with daily highs most likely between 14–17°C as a series of cold fronts and a cut-off low sustain cooler-than-average air masses over the Western Cape. This aligns with climatological July averages near 15–17°C and explains the market’s concentration of probability around 15–16°C outcomes. Trader dispersion across 13–19°C brackets reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction for the region’s variable steering patterns and orographic influences from Table Mountain, with resolution depending on the final 24-hour maximum reported by official stations. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely tighten these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 1, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
거래량
$4,461종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Jul 1, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Cape Town point to typical mid-winter conditions on July 3, with daily highs most likely between 14–17°C as a series of cold fronts and a cut-off low sustain cooler-than-average air masses over the Western Cape. This aligns with climatological July averages near 15–17°C and explains the market’s concentration of probability around 15–16°C outcomes. Trader dispersion across 13–19°C brackets reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction for the region’s variable steering patterns and orographic influences from Table Mountain, with resolution depending on the final 24-hour maximum reported by official stations. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely tighten these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$4,461종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Jul 1, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent forecast models for Cape Town point to typical mid-winter conditions on July 3, with daily highs most likely between 14–17°C as a series of cold fronts and a cut-off low sustain cooler-than-average air masses over the Western Cape. This aligns with climatological July averages near 15–17°C and explains the market’s concentration of probability around 15–16°C outcomes. Trader dispersion across 13–19°C brackets reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction for the region’s variable steering patterns and orographic influences from Table Mountain, with resolution depending on the final 24-hour maximum reported by official stations. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely tighten these implied odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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