Recent forecasts from regional models point to typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions in Guangzhou, with daytime highs centered near 33°C amid high humidity and afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight distribution of implied probabilities across 32–34°C outcomes, captures uncertainty in exact maximums driven by variable steering patterns, soil moisture from prior rains, and model spread on timing of any thunderstorm activity. Historical July averages near 32–33°C provide baseline context, while the low odds below 30°C or above 36°C align with the low likelihood of anomalous clear-sky heating or extreme suppression this close to the date. Updated numerical guidance ahead of July 3 will likely refine these near-term probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 3?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 3?
34°C 26%
33°C 21%
35°C 15%
32°C 10%
신규
신규
2026.07.03
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
7%
32°C
19%
33°C
21%
34°C
26%
35°C
15%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
4%
34°C 26%
33°C 21%
35°C 15%
32°C 10%
신규
신규
2026.07.03
27°C or below
$136 거래량
1%
28°C
$132 거래량
1%
29°C
$68 거래량
6%
30°C
$9 거래량
6%
31°C
$3 거래량
7%
32°C
$18 거래량
19%
33°C
$0 거래량
21%
34°C
$44 거래량
26%
35°C
$6 거래량
15%
36°C
$5 거래량
5%
37°C or higher
$24 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models point to typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions in Guangzhou, with daytime highs centered near 33°C amid high humidity and afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight distribution of implied probabilities across 32–34°C outcomes, captures uncertainty in exact maximums driven by variable steering patterns, soil moisture from prior rains, and model spread on timing of any thunderstorm activity. Historical July averages near 32–33°C provide baseline context, while the low odds below 30°C or above 36°C align with the low likelihood of anomalous clear-sky heating or extreme suppression this close to the date. Updated numerical guidance ahead of July 3 will likely refine these near-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$445종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models point to typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions in Guangzhou, with daytime highs centered near 33°C amid high humidity and afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight distribution of implied probabilities across 32–34°C outcomes, captures uncertainty in exact maximums driven by variable steering patterns, soil moisture from prior rains, and model spread on timing of any thunderstorm activity. Historical July averages near 32–33°C provide baseline context, while the low odds below 30°C or above 36°C align with the low likelihood of anomalous clear-sky heating or extreme suppression this close to the date. Updated numerical guidance ahead of July 3 will likely refine these near-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$445종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from regional models point to typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions in Guangzhou, with daytime highs centered near 33°C amid high humidity and afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight distribution of implied probabilities across 32–34°C outcomes, captures uncertainty in exact maximums driven by variable steering patterns, soil moisture from prior rains, and model spread on timing of any thunderstorm activity. Historical July averages near 32–33°C provide baseline context, while the low odds below 30°C or above 36°C align with the low likelihood of anomalous clear-sky heating or extreme suppression this close to the date. Updated numerical guidance ahead of July 3 will likely refine these near-term probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문