Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 5 indicate overnight lows near 27°C under typical early-July humidity and light winds, consistent with seasonal norms of 26–28°C minima and the agency’s normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Trader dispersion across 25–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling, where increased cloud cover or scattered showers could suppress temperatures by 1–2°C below guidance, while clearer skies would favor the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus shows limited spread, but monsoon trough influences and urban heat-island effects introduce modest variability ahead of the next forecast update.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 5?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 5?
27°C 48%
26°C 21%
28°C 15%
25°C 9%
신규
신규
2026.07.05
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
9%
26°C
21%
27°C
48%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
26°C 21%
28°C 15%
25°C 9%
신규
신규
2026.07.05
22°C or below
$49 거래량
<1%
23°C
$439 거래량
<1%
24°C
$383 거래량
5%
25°C
$41 거래량
9%
26°C
$1,354 거래량
21%
27°C
$2,320 거래량
48%
28°C
$62 거래량
15%
29°C
$72 거래량
3%
30°C
$44 거래량
1%
31°C
$242 거래량
<1%
32°C or higher
$49 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 5 indicate overnight lows near 27°C under typical early-July humidity and light winds, consistent with seasonal norms of 26–28°C minima and the agency’s normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Trader dispersion across 25–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling, where increased cloud cover or scattered showers could suppress temperatures by 1–2°C below guidance, while clearer skies would favor the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus shows limited spread, but monsoon trough influences and urban heat-island effects introduce modest variability ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$5,054종료일
2026.07.05마켓 개설일
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 5 indicate overnight lows near 27°C under typical early-July humidity and light winds, consistent with seasonal norms of 26–28°C minima and the agency’s normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Trader dispersion across 25–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling, where increased cloud cover or scattered showers could suppress temperatures by 1–2°C below guidance, while clearer skies would favor the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus shows limited spread, but monsoon trough influences and urban heat-island effects introduce modest variability ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$5,054종료일
2026.07.05마켓 개설일
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 5 indicate overnight lows near 27°C under typical early-July humidity and light winds, consistent with seasonal norms of 26–28°C minima and the agency’s normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Trader dispersion across 25–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling, where increased cloud cover or scattered showers could suppress temperatures by 1–2°C below guidance, while clearer skies would favor the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus shows limited spread, but monsoon trough influences and urban heat-island effects introduce modest variability ahead of the next forecast update.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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