Latest high-resolution forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office converge on a 33–34°C peak for Milan on July 3, driving the near-even 37.5% and 35.5% market shares for those bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean favors southerly flow that advects warmer air masses northward across the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds allow strong daytime insolation and limited mixing. Urban heat-island effects in central Milan can add 1–2°C locally compared with rural stations. Minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage create the tight clustering around 32–34°C; updated runs from Arpa Lombardia or the next ECMWF cycle will likely refine the precise maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Milan on July 3?
32°C 47%
33°C 28%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
$16,392 거래량
$16,392 거래량
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
18%
32°C
47%
33°C
28%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
33°C 28%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
$16,392 거래량
$16,392 거래량
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
18%
32°C
47%
33°C
28%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest high-resolution forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office converge on a 33–34°C peak for Milan on July 3, driving the near-even 37.5% and 35.5% market shares for those bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean favors southerly flow that advects warmer air masses northward across the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds allow strong daytime insolation and limited mixing. Urban heat-island effects in central Milan can add 1–2°C locally compared with rural stations. Minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage create the tight clustering around 32–34°C; updated runs from Arpa Lombardia or the next ECMWF cycle will likely refine the precise maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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