Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Karachi on July 5?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 5?
35°C 42%
34°C 25%
36°C 20%
37°C 6.1%
신규
신규
2026.07.05
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
25%
35°C
42%
36°C
20%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 42%
34°C 25%
36°C 20%
37°C 6.1%
신규
신규
2026.07.05
28°C or below
$192 거래량
<1%
29°C
$184 거래량
<1%
30°C
$267 거래량
1%
31°C
$258 거래량
1%
32°C
$200 거래량
1%
33°C
$223 거래량
4%
34°C
$481 거래량
25%
35°C
$2,476 거래량
42%
36°C
$436 거래량
20%
37°C
$291 거래량
6%
38°C or higher
$166 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$5,173종료일
2026.07.05마켓 개설일
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$5,173종료일
2026.07.05마켓 개설일
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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