Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 5?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 5?
25°C 42%
26°C 38%
27°C 8%
24°C 6%
신규
신규
2026.07.05
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
42%
26°C
38%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 42%
26°C 38%
27°C 8%
24°C 6%
신규
신규
2026.07.05
21°C or below
$42 거래량
1%
22°C
$85 거래량
1%
23°C
$32 거래량
4%
24°C
$5 거래량
6%
25°C
$57 거래량
42%
26°C
$5 거래량
38%
27°C
$235 거래량
8%
28°C
$250 거래량
3%
29°C
$147 거래량
1%
30°C
$33 거래량
<1%
31°C or higher
$491 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$1,369종료일
2026.07.05마켓 개설일
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$1,369종료일
2026.07.05마켓 개설일
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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