Recent forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection over northern France, with Paris daytime maxima most likely peaking at 33–34°C on July 6 amid mostly clear skies and light winds. Following the late-June heatwave that produced national records near 40°C, residual warmth and dry soils are sustaining elevated temperatures, though increasing model spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values, with lower odds for 32°C or below tied to any unexpected marine influence and slim chances above 35°C requiring stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and Meteo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of the July 6 maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Paris on July 6?
33°C 35%
34°C 32%
31°C 12%
32°C 11%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
11%
33°C
35%
34°C
32%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
33°C 35%
34°C 32%
31°C 12%
32°C 11%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
11%
33°C
35%
34°C
32%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection over northern France, with Paris daytime maxima most likely peaking at 33–34°C on July 6 amid mostly clear skies and light winds. Following the late-June heatwave that produced national records near 40°C, residual warmth and dry soils are sustaining elevated temperatures, though increasing model spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values, with lower odds for 32°C or below tied to any unexpected marine influence and slim chances above 35°C requiring stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and Meteo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of the July 6 maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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