Official National Weather Service guidance points to thunderstorms likely on July 3 after an intense heat wave that produced record 2026 highs near 94°F earlier in the week, with an extreme heat warning ending at midnight. Model consensus shows a frontal boundary and increased cloud cover/storm activity arriving Friday, which would limit peak heating by enhancing mixing, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation compared to recent sunny conditions. This setup favors a daily high in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the spread among 88–91°F bins reflecting uncertainty in storm timing, coverage, and exact steering flow. Normal July highs near 84°F provide climatological context, while trader positioning weights the balance between lingering warm advection and the expected relief. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through July 2 evening remain key inputs before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chicago on July 3?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 3?
88-89°F 60%
90-91°F 37%
86-87°F 9%
92-93°F 6.7%
$46,160 거래량
$46,160 거래량
2026.07.03
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
55%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 60%
90-91°F 37%
86-87°F 9%
92-93°F 6.7%
$46,160 거래량
$46,160 거래량
2026.07.03
77°F or below
$1,230 거래량
<1%
78-79°F
$2,146 거래량
<1%
80-81°F
$3,590 거래량
<1%
82-83°F
$11,609 거래량
<1%
84-85°F
$6,037 거래량
<1%
86-87°F
$2,942 거래량
9%
88-89°F
$5,420 거래량
55%
90-91°F
$6,215 거래량
37%
92-93°F
$3,265 거래량
7%
94-95°F
$1,678 거래량
1%
96°F or higher
$2,354 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance points to thunderstorms likely on July 3 after an intense heat wave that produced record 2026 highs near 94°F earlier in the week, with an extreme heat warning ending at midnight. Model consensus shows a frontal boundary and increased cloud cover/storm activity arriving Friday, which would limit peak heating by enhancing mixing, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation compared to recent sunny conditions. This setup favors a daily high in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the spread among 88–91°F bins reflecting uncertainty in storm timing, coverage, and exact steering flow. Normal July highs near 84°F provide climatological context, while trader positioning weights the balance between lingering warm advection and the expected relief. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through July 2 evening remain key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
거래량
$46,160종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance points to thunderstorms likely on July 3 after an intense heat wave that produced record 2026 highs near 94°F earlier in the week, with an extreme heat warning ending at midnight. Model consensus shows a frontal boundary and increased cloud cover/storm activity arriving Friday, which would limit peak heating by enhancing mixing, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation compared to recent sunny conditions. This setup favors a daily high in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the spread among 88–91°F bins reflecting uncertainty in storm timing, coverage, and exact steering flow. Normal July highs near 84°F provide climatological context, while trader positioning weights the balance between lingering warm advection and the expected relief. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through July 2 evening remain key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$46,160종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service guidance points to thunderstorms likely on July 3 after an intense heat wave that produced record 2026 highs near 94°F earlier in the week, with an extreme heat warning ending at midnight. Model consensus shows a frontal boundary and increased cloud cover/storm activity arriving Friday, which would limit peak heating by enhancing mixing, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation compared to recent sunny conditions. This setup favors a daily high in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the spread among 88–91°F bins reflecting uncertainty in storm timing, coverage, and exact steering flow. Normal July highs near 84°F provide climatological context, while trader positioning weights the balance between lingering warm advection and the expected relief. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through July 2 evening remain key inputs before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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