Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chicago on July 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 4?
84-85°F 34%
86-87°F 31%
88-89°F 13%
82-83°F 11%
신규
$28,806 거래량
신규
$28,806 거래량
2026.07.04
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
31%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 34%
86-87°F 31%
88-89°F 13%
82-83°F 11%
신규
$28,806 거래량
신규
$28,806 거래량
2026.07.04
75°F or below
$1,081 거래량
<1%
76-77°F
$1,435 거래량
<1%
78-79°F
$1,316 거래량
1%
80-81°F
$2,513 거래량
3%
82-83°F
$5,248 거래량
11%
84-85°F
$9,581 거래량
34%
86-87°F
$2,252 거래량
31%
88-89°F
$1,662 거래량
13%
90-91°F
$1,293 거래량
2%
92-93°F
$1,212 거래량
<1%
94°F or higher
$1,228 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
거래량
$28,806종료일
2026.07.04마켓 개설일
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$28,806종료일
2026.07.04마켓 개설일
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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