**Trader consensus centers on 29°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Busan on July 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models.** These place the city near the edge of the North Pacific high, with a nearby stationary monsoon front and typical early-July humidity supporting daytime peaks slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C. Coastal sea breezes and potential organized rainfall on the date are expected to moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C+ relatively low while clustering implied odds tightly around the upper 20s. Updated short-range model guidance and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Busan on July 6?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 6?
29°C 43%
28°C 18%
30°C 12%
26°C 6%
신규
신규
2026.07.06
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
6%
28°C
20%
29°C
43%
30°C
12%
31°C
4%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
29°C 43%
28°C 18%
30°C 12%
26°C 6%
신규
신규
2026.07.06
24°C or below
$17 거래량
<1%
25°C
$18 거래량
1%
26°C
$9 거래량
6%
27°C
$3 거래량
6%
28°C
$9 거래량
20%
29°C
$92 거래량
43%
30°C
$19 거래량
12%
31°C
$11 거래량
4%
32°C
$10 거래량
5%
33°C
$12 거래량
3%
34°C or higher
$16 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 29°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Busan on July 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models.** These place the city near the edge of the North Pacific high, with a nearby stationary monsoon front and typical early-July humidity supporting daytime peaks slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C. Coastal sea breezes and potential organized rainfall on the date are expected to moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C+ relatively low while clustering implied odds tightly around the upper 20s. Updated short-range model guidance and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$216종료일
2026.07.06마켓 개설일
Jul 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 29°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Busan on July 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models.** These place the city near the edge of the North Pacific high, with a nearby stationary monsoon front and typical early-July humidity supporting daytime peaks slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C. Coastal sea breezes and potential organized rainfall on the date are expected to moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C+ relatively low while clustering implied odds tightly around the upper 20s. Updated short-range model guidance and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$216종료일
2026.07.06마켓 개설일
Jul 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Trader consensus centers on 29°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Busan on July 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models.** These place the city near the edge of the North Pacific high, with a nearby stationary monsoon front and typical early-July humidity supporting daytime peaks slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C. Coastal sea breezes and potential organized rainfall on the date are expected to moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C+ relatively low while clustering implied odds tightly around the upper 20s. Updated short-range model guidance and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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