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정치·영국

2026년 차기 영국 외무장관?

icon for 2026년 차기 영국 외무장관?
정치·영국

2026년 차기 영국 외무장관?

2026년에 다음 외무장관 없음 27%

웨스 스트리팅 22%

리사 낸디 15%

존 힐리 10%

Polymarket
신규

2026년에 다음 외무장관 없음 27%

웨스 스트리팅 22%

리사 낸디 15%

존 힐리 10%

Polymarket
신규
icon for 2026년에 다음 외무장관 없음

2026년에 다음 외무장관 없음

$814 거래량

27%

icon for 웨스 스트리팅

웨스 스트리팅

$1,289 거래량

22%

icon for 리사 낸디

리사 낸디

$374 거래량

15%

icon for 존 힐리

존 힐리

$214 거래량

10%

icon for Pat McFadden

Pat McFadden

$164 거래량

7%

icon for 데이비드 래미

데이비드 래미

$164 거래량

4%

icon for 힐러리 벤

힐러리 벤

$217 거래량

3%

icon for 샤바나 마무드

샤바나 마무드

$184 거래량

3%

icon for 레이첼 리브스

레이첼 리브스

$221 거래량

3%

icon for 대런 존스

대런 존스

$2,580 거래량

2%

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent cabinet instability under Keir Starmer, including the September 2025 reshuffle that moved David Lammy to Deputy Prime Minister and installed Yvette Cooper as Foreign Secretary, followed by further May-June 2026 adjustments amid resignations and a Labour leadership crisis, has left trader sentiment evenly split across numerous senior Labour figures. With no dominant frontrunner emerging and "no change in 2026" also priced near 45 percent, the market reflects uncertainty over whether additional reshuffles will occur before year-end, the broad bench of eligible cabinet ministers and MPs, and procedural factors like prime ministerial discretion in appointments. Scheduled parliamentary sessions and any further ministerial departures could quickly shift implied probabilities among the listed contenders.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$6,223
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent cabinet instability under Keir Starmer, including the September 2025 reshuffle that moved David Lammy to Deputy Prime Minister and installed Yvette Cooper as Foreign Secretary, followed by further May-June 2026 adjustments amid resignations and a Labour leadership crisis, has left trader sentiment evenly split across numerous senior Labour figures. With no dominant frontrunner emerging and "no change in 2026" also priced near 45 percent, the market reflects uncertainty over whether additional reshuffles will occur before year-end, the broad bench of eligible cabinet ministers and MPs, and procedural factors like prime ministerial discretion in appointments. Scheduled parliamentary sessions and any further ministerial departures could quickly shift implied probabilities among the listed contenders.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$6,223
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"2026년 차기 영국 외무장관?"은 10개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 27%의 "2026년에 다음 외무장관 없음"이며, 이어서 22%의 "웨스 스트리팅"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 27¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 27%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"2026년 차기 영국 외무장관?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Jun 22, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"2026년 차기 영국 외무장관?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 10개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"2026년 차기 영국 외무장관?"의 현재 유력 후보는 27%의 "2026년에 다음 외무장관 없음"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 27%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 22%의 "웨스 스트리팅"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"2026년 차기 영국 외무장관?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.