OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for a late-2026 or early-2027 listing near or above $1 trillion. Strong institutional demand for AI exposure, evidenced by participation from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supports premium pricing, while revenue run rates approaching $20 billion contrast with projected 2026 losses exceeding $14 billion and breakeven not anticipated until 2029–2030. Market-implied odds reflect these fundamentals alongside comparable IPO benchmarks such as SpaceX, with upcoming catalysts including SEC review timelines, macroeconomic conditions affecting tech multiples, and any pre-IPO tender offers that could reset the reference valuation before the closing market cap is determined.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,509,648 거래량
$1,509,648 거래량
$800B
84%
$1T
73%
$1.2T
68%
$1.4T
38%
$1.6T
26%
$1,509,648 거래량
$1,509,648 거래량
$800B
84%
$1T
73%
$1.2T
68%
$1.4T
38%
$1.6T
26%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for a late-2026 or early-2027 listing near or above $1 trillion. Strong institutional demand for AI exposure, evidenced by participation from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supports premium pricing, while revenue run rates approaching $20 billion contrast with projected 2026 losses exceeding $14 billion and breakeven not anticipated until 2029–2030. Market-implied odds reflect these fundamentals alongside comparable IPO benchmarks such as SpaceX, with upcoming catalysts including SEC review timelines, macroeconomic conditions affecting tech multiples, and any pre-IPO tender offers that could reset the reference valuation before the closing market cap is determined.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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