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icon for 2026년 차기 영국 총리?

2026년 차기 영국 총리?

icon for 2026년 차기 영국 총리?

2026년 차기 영국 총리?

웨스 스트리팅 44%

에드 밀리밴드 32%

이베트 쿠퍼 14.5%

Pat McFadden 9%

Polymarket
신규

웨스 스트리팅 44%

에드 밀리밴드 32%

이베트 쿠퍼 14.5%

Pat McFadden 9%

Polymarket
신규
icon for 웨스 스트리팅

웨스 스트리팅

$1,653 거래량

44%

icon for 에드 밀리밴드

에드 밀리밴드

$2,231 거래량

32%

icon for 이베트 쿠퍼

이베트 쿠퍼

$1,925 거래량

15%

icon for Pat McFadden

Pat McFadden

$802 거래량

9%

icon for 2026년에 다음 재무장관 없음

2026년에 다음 재무장관 없음

$667 거래량

4%

icon for 대런 존스

대런 존스

$903 거래량

13%

icon for 토스텐 벨

토스텐 벨

$767 거래량

3%

icon for 샤바나 마무드

샤바나 마무드

$634 거래량

2%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$9,421
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Jun 21, 2026, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$9,421
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Jun 21, 2026, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"2026년 차기 영국 총리?"은 8개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 44%의 "웨스 스트리팅"이며, 이어서 32%의 "에드 밀리밴드"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 44¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 44%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"2026년 차기 영국 총리?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Jun 21, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"2026년 차기 영국 총리?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 8개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"2026년 차기 영국 총리?"의 현재 유력 후보는 44%의 "웨스 스트리팅"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 44%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 32%의 "에드 밀리밴드"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"2026년 차기 영국 총리?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.