Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트40-64 56%
65-89 31%
<40 10%
90-114 3.7%
신규
$44,321 거래량
신규
$44,321 거래량
2026.06.24
<40
10%
40-64
56%
65-89
31%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 56%
65-89 31%
<40 10%
90-114 3.7%
신규
$44,321 거래량
신규
$44,321 거래량
2026.06.24
<40
$3,856 거래량
10%
40-64
$1,694 거래량
56%
65-89
$2,593 거래량
31%
90-114
$3,756 거래량
4%
115-139
$1,701 거래량
1%
140-164
$2,597 거래량
<1%
165-189
$12,879 거래량
<1%
190-214
$4,788 거래량
<1%
215-239
$4,788 거래량
<1%
240+
$5,788 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$44,321종료일
2026.06.24마켓 개설일
Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$44,321종료일
2026.06.24마켓 개설일
Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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