Recent below-average rainfall has positioned trader consensus around 3-4 inches for June 2026 in New York City, with only about 1.4-1.7 inches recorded through mid-month against a climatological normal of 4.54 inches at Central Park. Early June featured mostly dry conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern, limiting convective activity and thunderstorm development typical for the season. With roughly 12 days remaining, near-normal precipitation rates would likely add 1.5-2.5 inches, supporting the market's leading 3-4 inch outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Longer-range guidance indicates a modest uptick in moisture from Atlantic influences, though model spread and El Niño-related variability introduce uncertainty for exceeding 4 inches.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Precipitation in NYC in June?
Precipitation in NYC in June?
3-4" 89%
4-5" 23%
5-6" 4.8%
>6" 4.1%
신규
신규
2026.06.30
<2"
<1%
2-3"
<1%
3-4"
81%
4-5"
29%
5-6"
5%
>6"
4%
3-4" 89%
4-5" 23%
5-6" 4.8%
>6" 4.1%
신규
신규
2026.06.30
<2"
$2,882 거래량
<1%
2-3"
$2,065 거래량
<1%
3-4"
$322 거래량
81%
4-5"
$228 거래량
29%
5-6"
$256 거래량
5%
>6"
$398 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent below-average rainfall has positioned trader consensus around 3-4 inches for June 2026 in New York City, with only about 1.4-1.7 inches recorded through mid-month against a climatological normal of 4.54 inches at Central Park. Early June featured mostly dry conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern, limiting convective activity and thunderstorm development typical for the season. With roughly 12 days remaining, near-normal precipitation rates would likely add 1.5-2.5 inches, supporting the market's leading 3-4 inch outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Longer-range guidance indicates a modest uptick in moisture from Atlantic influences, though model spread and El Niño-related variability introduce uncertainty for exceeding 4 inches.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
거래량
$6,151종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent below-average rainfall has positioned trader consensus around 3-4 inches for June 2026 in New York City, with only about 1.4-1.7 inches recorded through mid-month against a climatological normal of 4.54 inches at Central Park. Early June featured mostly dry conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern, limiting convective activity and thunderstorm development typical for the season. With roughly 12 days remaining, near-normal precipitation rates would likely add 1.5-2.5 inches, supporting the market's leading 3-4 inch outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Longer-range guidance indicates a modest uptick in moisture from Atlantic influences, though model spread and El Niño-related variability introduce uncertainty for exceeding 4 inches.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$6,151종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent below-average rainfall has positioned trader consensus around 3-4 inches for June 2026 in New York City, with only about 1.4-1.7 inches recorded through mid-month against a climatological normal of 4.54 inches at Central Park. Early June featured mostly dry conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern, limiting convective activity and thunderstorm development typical for the season. With roughly 12 days remaining, near-normal precipitation rates would likely add 1.5-2.5 inches, supporting the market's leading 3-4 inch outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Longer-range guidance indicates a modest uptick in moisture from Atlantic influences, though model spread and El Niño-related variability introduce uncertainty for exceeding 4 inches.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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