Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 2.6% year-over-year rise—the highest since July 2024—driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions has anchored trader sentiment for South Korea’s full-year 2026 inflation rate. This acceleration from March’s 2.2% reading has lifted market-implied odds for outcomes clustered between 2.1% and 2.6%, where probabilities sit nearly even at 37.6% and 39.0%. Forecasts from the IMF at 2.5% and OECD at 2.7% reflect upward revisions tied to energy pass-through, yet core inflation near 2.2% and expected monetary policy responses continue to support a competitive range. Upcoming May and June releases, alongside Bank of Korea communications, remain key swing factors that could shift the tight distribution of probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트3.0% 이상 43%
2.4%에서 2.6% 38.6%
1.5%에서 1.7% 8%
1.5% 미만 5.9%
$11,072 거래량
$11,072 거래량
2026.12.31
1.5% 미만
6%
1.5%에서 1.7%
8%
1.8%에서 2.0%
31%
2.1%에서 2.3%
36%
2.4%에서 2.6%
39%
2.7%에서 2.9%
31%
3.0% 이상
33%
3.0% 이상 43%
2.4%에서 2.6% 38.6%
1.5%에서 1.7% 8%
1.5% 미만 5.9%
$11,072 거래량
$11,072 거래량
2026.12.31
1.5% 미만
$1,136 거래량
6%
1.5%에서 1.7%
$959 거래량
8%
1.8%에서 2.0%
$108 거래량
31%
2.1%에서 2.3%
$159 거래량
36%
2.4%에서 2.6%
$145 거래량
39%
2.7%에서 2.9%
$139 거래량
31%
3.0% 이상
$8,428 거래량
33%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 2.6% year-over-year rise—the highest since July 2024—driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions has anchored trader sentiment for South Korea’s full-year 2026 inflation rate. This acceleration from March’s 2.2% reading has lifted market-implied odds for outcomes clustered between 2.1% and 2.6%, where probabilities sit nearly even at 37.6% and 39.0%. Forecasts from the IMF at 2.5% and OECD at 2.7% reflect upward revisions tied to energy pass-through, yet core inflation near 2.2% and expected monetary policy responses continue to support a competitive range. Upcoming May and June releases, alongside Bank of Korea communications, remain key swing factors that could shift the tight distribution of probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
마켓 개설일: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
거래량
$11,072종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 2.6% year-over-year rise—the highest since July 2024—driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions has anchored trader sentiment for South Korea’s full-year 2026 inflation rate. This acceleration from March’s 2.2% reading has lifted market-implied odds for outcomes clustered between 2.1% and 2.6%, where probabilities sit nearly even at 37.6% and 39.0%. Forecasts from the IMF at 2.5% and OECD at 2.7% reflect upward revisions tied to energy pass-through, yet core inflation near 2.2% and expected monetary policy responses continue to support a competitive range. Upcoming May and June releases, alongside Bank of Korea communications, remain key swing factors that could shift the tight distribution of probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
거래량
$11,072종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 2.6% year-over-year rise—the highest since July 2024—driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions has anchored trader sentiment for South Korea’s full-year 2026 inflation rate. This acceleration from March’s 2.2% reading has lifted market-implied odds for outcomes clustered between 2.1% and 2.6%, where probabilities sit nearly even at 37.6% and 39.0%. Forecasts from the IMF at 2.5% and OECD at 2.7% reflect upward revisions tied to energy pass-through, yet core inflation near 2.2% and expected monetary policy responses continue to support a competitive range. Upcoming May and June releases, alongside Bank of Korea communications, remain key swing factors that could shift the tight distribution of probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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