SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a potential Nasdaq listing as early as mid-June 2026 following recent SEC review progress, underpins the overwhelming 97.4% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above 1 trillion dollars. Recent reports highlight target valuations between 1.5 and 2 trillion dollars to fund Starlink expansion, space-based artificial intelligence infrastructure, and Starship development, supported by secondary share sales that already reflect strong investor demand. This consensus reflects traders' assessment of SpaceX's revenue trajectory and competitive position in the commercial space sector. Still, realistic scenarios like broader market volatility, regulatory hurdles during final filings, or shifts in capital-raising needs could pressure the final pricing below 1 trillion.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1조+ 97.4%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음 <1%
8,000억–9,000억 <1%
9,000억–1조 <1%
$3,469,324 거래량
$3,469,324 거래량
2027.12.31
5,000억 미만
<1%
5,000억~6,000억
<1%
6,000억–7,000억
<1%
7,000억–8,000억
<1%
8,000억–9,000억
1%
9,000억–1조
1%
1조+
97%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
1%
1조+ 97.4%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음 <1%
8,000억–9,000억 <1%
9,000억–1조 <1%
$3,469,324 거래량
$3,469,324 거래량
2027.12.31
5,000억 미만
$381,361 거래량
<1%
5,000억~6,000억
$323,701 거래량
<1%
6,000억–7,000억
$298,530 거래량
<1%
7,000억–8,000억
$334,408 거래량
<1%
8,000억–9,000억
$485,871 거래량
1%
9,000억–1조
$422,951 거래량
1%
1조+
$617,592 거래량
97%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
$604,911 거래량
1%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a potential Nasdaq listing as early as mid-June 2026 following recent SEC review progress, underpins the overwhelming 97.4% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above 1 trillion dollars. Recent reports highlight target valuations between 1.5 and 2 trillion dollars to fund Starlink expansion, space-based artificial intelligence infrastructure, and Starship development, supported by secondary share sales that already reflect strong investor demand. This consensus reflects traders' assessment of SpaceX's revenue trajectory and competitive position in the commercial space sector. Still, realistic scenarios like broader market volatility, regulatory hurdles during final filings, or shifts in capital-raising needs could pressure the final pricing below 1 trillion.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
거래량
$3,469,324종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a potential Nasdaq listing as early as mid-June 2026 following recent SEC review progress, underpins the overwhelming 97.4% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above 1 trillion dollars. Recent reports highlight target valuations between 1.5 and 2 trillion dollars to fund Starlink expansion, space-based artificial intelligence infrastructure, and Starship development, supported by secondary share sales that already reflect strong investor demand. This consensus reflects traders' assessment of SpaceX's revenue trajectory and competitive position in the commercial space sector. Still, realistic scenarios like broader market volatility, regulatory hurdles during final filings, or shifts in capital-raising needs could pressure the final pricing below 1 trillion.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$3,469,324종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a potential Nasdaq listing as early as mid-June 2026 following recent SEC review progress, underpins the overwhelming 97.4% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above 1 trillion dollars. Recent reports highlight target valuations between 1.5 and 2 trillion dollars to fund Starlink expansion, space-based artificial intelligence infrastructure, and Starship development, supported by secondary share sales that already reflect strong investor demand. This consensus reflects traders' assessment of SpaceX's revenue trajectory and competitive position in the commercial space sector. Still, realistic scenarios like broader market volatility, regulatory hurdles during final filings, or shifts in capital-raising needs could pressure the final pricing below 1 trillion.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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