SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX and a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation in SEC filings, underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above 1 trillion. Recent private tenders and the February xAI merger have lifted valuations from $800 billion to over $1.25 trillion, while Starlink's subscriber growth and Falcon/Starship launch cadence strengthen the company's positioning in satellite broadband and reusable launch systems. Traders appear to view these operational milestones and the $75 billion raise target as supporting premium pricing relative to peers like Tesla. Still, near-term catalysts such as the June roadshow could shift sentiment if macroeconomic conditions weaken or regulatory scrutiny intensifies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1조+ 96.2%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음 1.1%
8,000억–9,000억 1.0%
9,000억–1조 <1%
$3,447,811 거래량
$3,447,811 거래량
2027.12.31
5,000억 미만
<1%
5,000억~6,000억
<1%
6,000억–7,000억
<1%
7,000억–8,000억
<1%
8,000억–9,000억
1%
9,000억–1조
1%
1조+
96%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
1%
1조+ 96.2%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음 1.1%
8,000억–9,000억 1.0%
9,000억–1조 <1%
$3,447,811 거래량
$3,447,811 거래량
2027.12.31
5,000억 미만
$379,370 거래량
<1%
5,000억~6,000억
$322,063 거래량
<1%
6,000억–7,000억
$293,403 거래량
<1%
7,000억–8,000억
$332,371 거래량
<1%
8,000억–9,000억
$483,193 거래량
1%
9,000억–1조
$421,103 거래량
1%
1조+
$613,210 거래량
96%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
$603,096 거래량
1%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX and a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation in SEC filings, underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above 1 trillion. Recent private tenders and the February xAI merger have lifted valuations from $800 billion to over $1.25 trillion, while Starlink's subscriber growth and Falcon/Starship launch cadence strengthen the company's positioning in satellite broadband and reusable launch systems. Traders appear to view these operational milestones and the $75 billion raise target as supporting premium pricing relative to peers like Tesla. Still, near-term catalysts such as the June roadshow could shift sentiment if macroeconomic conditions weaken or regulatory scrutiny intensifies.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
거래량
$3,447,811종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX and a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation in SEC filings, underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above 1 trillion. Recent private tenders and the February xAI merger have lifted valuations from $800 billion to over $1.25 trillion, while Starlink's subscriber growth and Falcon/Starship launch cadence strengthen the company's positioning in satellite broadband and reusable launch systems. Traders appear to view these operational milestones and the $75 billion raise target as supporting premium pricing relative to peers like Tesla. Still, near-term catalysts such as the June roadshow could shift sentiment if macroeconomic conditions weaken or regulatory scrutiny intensifies.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$3,447,811종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX and a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation in SEC filings, underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above 1 trillion. Recent private tenders and the February xAI merger have lifted valuations from $800 billion to over $1.25 trillion, while Starlink's subscriber growth and Falcon/Starship launch cadence strengthen the company's positioning in satellite broadband and reusable launch systems. Traders appear to view these operational milestones and the $75 billion raise target as supporting premium pricing relative to peers like Tesla. Still, near-term catalysts such as the June roadshow could shift sentiment if macroeconomic conditions weaken or regulatory scrutiny intensifies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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