SpaceX’s recent confidential SEC filing in April 2026 and preparations for a June IPO targeting roughly 1.75–2 trillion have anchored trader sentiment around the 2.0–2.5 trillion and 1.5–2.0 trillion closing market-cap bands. Starlink’s rapid subscriber growth past 10 million users, recurring revenue dominance, and demonstrated profitability provide the core valuation floor, while reusable Falcon and Starship launch cadence continues to widen SpaceX’s lead over competitors such as Amazon’s Project Kuiper. Uncertainty between the top two buckets reflects ongoing questions about final share allocation, potential xAI-related synergies, and last-minute market conditions that could shift the offering size by tens of billions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,994,709 거래량
$1,994,709 거래량
1.0조 달러 미만
4%
1.0조~1.5조
7%
1.5조~2.0조 달러
22%
2.0조~2.5조
28%
2.5조-3.0조
18%
3.0조~3.5조
11%
3.5조+
3%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
2%
$1,994,709 거래량
$1,994,709 거래량
1.0조 달러 미만
4%
1.0조~1.5조
7%
1.5조~2.0조 달러
22%
2.0조~2.5조
28%
2.5조-3.0조
18%
3.0조~3.5조
11%
3.5조+
3%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
2%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s recent confidential SEC filing in April 2026 and preparations for a June IPO targeting roughly 1.75–2 trillion have anchored trader sentiment around the 2.0–2.5 trillion and 1.5–2.0 trillion closing market-cap bands. Starlink’s rapid subscriber growth past 10 million users, recurring revenue dominance, and demonstrated profitability provide the core valuation floor, while reusable Falcon and Starship launch cadence continues to widen SpaceX’s lead over competitors such as Amazon’s Project Kuiper. Uncertainty between the top two buckets reflects ongoing questions about final share allocation, potential xAI-related synergies, and last-minute market conditions that could shift the offering size by tens of billions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문