Recent private-market tenders and SpaceX’s April 2026 confidential SEC filing have driven the market-implied odds, with the 2.0–2.5T closing market cap bin now leading at 43 percent. Traders are pricing in continued rapid valuation growth from the $800 billion level in late 2025 to roughly $1.5–1.75 trillion today, fueled by Starlink’s expanding cash flow, Starship flight-rate ambitions, and plans for orbital AI infrastructure. Historical precedent for mega-listings and the company’s aggressive multi-planetary roadmap support expectations that the IPO, eyed for mid-2026, will settle near or above $2 trillion. Key near-term catalysts include final pricing decisions and any last-minute revenue or regulatory updates that could shift the final range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$2,048,788 거래량
$2,048,788 거래량
1.0조 달러 미만
3%
1.0조~1.5조
4%
1.5조~2.0조 달러
24%
2.0조~2.5조
42%
2.5조-3.0조
23%
3.0조~3.5조
8%
3.5조+
5%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
1%
$2,048,788 거래량
$2,048,788 거래량
1.0조 달러 미만
$77,237 거래량
3%
1.0조~1.5조
$71,423 거래량
4%
1.5조~2.0조 달러
$87,253 거래량
24%
2.0조~2.5조
$111,416 거래량
42%
2.5조-3.0조
$829,922 거래량
23%
3.0조~3.5조
$503,379 거래량
8%
3.5조+
$78,303 거래량
5%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
$289,855 거래량
1%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent private-market tenders and SpaceX’s April 2026 confidential SEC filing have driven the market-implied odds, with the 2.0–2.5T closing market cap bin now leading at 43 percent. Traders are pricing in continued rapid valuation growth from the $800 billion level in late 2025 to roughly $1.5–1.75 trillion today, fueled by Starlink’s expanding cash flow, Starship flight-rate ambitions, and plans for orbital AI infrastructure. Historical precedent for mega-listings and the company’s aggressive multi-planetary roadmap support expectations that the IPO, eyed for mid-2026, will settle near or above $2 trillion. Key near-term catalysts include final pricing decisions and any last-minute revenue or regulatory updates that could shift the final range.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
거래량
$2,048,788마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent private-market tenders and SpaceX’s April 2026 confidential SEC filing have driven the market-implied odds, with the 2.0–2.5T closing market cap bin now leading at 43 percent. Traders are pricing in continued rapid valuation growth from the $800 billion level in late 2025 to roughly $1.5–1.75 trillion today, fueled by Starlink’s expanding cash flow, Starship flight-rate ambitions, and plans for orbital AI infrastructure. Historical precedent for mega-listings and the company’s aggressive multi-planetary roadmap support expectations that the IPO, eyed for mid-2026, will settle near or above $2 trillion. Key near-term catalysts include final pricing decisions and any last-minute revenue or regulatory updates that could shift the final range.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$2,048,788마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent private-market tenders and SpaceX’s April 2026 confidential SEC filing have driven the market-implied odds, with the 2.0–2.5T closing market cap bin now leading at 43 percent. Traders are pricing in continued rapid valuation growth from the $800 billion level in late 2025 to roughly $1.5–1.75 trillion today, fueled by Starlink’s expanding cash flow, Starship flight-rate ambitions, and plans for orbital AI infrastructure. Historical precedent for mega-listings and the company’s aggressive multi-planetary roadmap support expectations that the IPO, eyed for mid-2026, will settle near or above $2 trillion. Key near-term catalysts include final pricing decisions and any last-minute revenue or regulatory updates that could shift the final range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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