Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and a buyer's market characterized by rising active listings—now exceeding 17,000 in the Austin metro—continue to pressure home values, with Zillow Home Value Index figures showing typical values around $494,000–$511,000 amid 3–6% year-over-year declines through April–May 2026 data. Increased inventory and median days on market near 48–61 days reflect softer demand despite stable tech employment, while median sale prices hover between $440,000 metro-wide and higher city figures. With resolution imminent, trader sentiment remains split as the closely contested buckets around $481k–$495k hinge on final seasonal adjustments and any late May–June transaction revisions that could shift the median either below $481k or above $495k.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트>$495k 초과 36%
$481,000 미만 31%
$481천 - $484천 10%
$493k - $495k 10%
$481천 - $484천
15%
$484k - $487k
13%
$493k - $495k
12%
$490,000 - $493,000
14%
>$495k 초과
36%
$487k - $490k
14%
$481,000 미만
29%
>$495k 초과 36%
$481,000 미만 31%
$481천 - $484천 10%
$493k - $495k 10%
$481천 - $484천
15%
$484k - $487k
13%
$493k - $495k
12%
$490,000 - $493,000
14%
>$495k 초과
36%
$487k - $490k
14%
$481,000 미만
29%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
마켓 개설일: Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and a buyer's market characterized by rising active listings—now exceeding 17,000 in the Austin metro—continue to pressure home values, with Zillow Home Value Index figures showing typical values around $494,000–$511,000 amid 3–6% year-over-year declines through April–May 2026 data. Increased inventory and median days on market near 48–61 days reflect softer demand despite stable tech employment, while median sale prices hover between $440,000 metro-wide and higher city figures. With resolution imminent, trader sentiment remains split as the closely contested buckets around $481k–$495k hinge on final seasonal adjustments and any late May–June transaction revisions that could shift the median either below $481k or above $495k.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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