Recent sales data through May 2026 show Los Angeles-area median prices holding near or slightly below prior-year levels at roughly $1.0 million, reflecting persistent affordability constraints from mortgage rates near 6.3 percent. Elevated financing costs continue to limit buyer demand and transaction volumes, producing the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $1.172 million–$1.190 million range. Seasonal spring activity and limited inventory provide modest counter-support, yet year-to-date softening and mixed leading indicators leave the precise June 30 reading contested. With resolution only weeks away, final May and June reports on sales, days on market, and rate-sensitive demand will determine whether values settle in the leading bins or shift lower.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1.172M - $1.181M 28%
$1.181M - $1.190M 27%
<$1.172M 16%
$1.190M - $1.199M 13%
<$1.172M
16%
$1.172M - $1.181M
28%
$1.181M - $1.190M
32%
$1.190M - $1.199M
13%
$1.199M - $1.208M
6%
$1.208M - $1.216M
5%
>$1.216M
5%
$1.172M - $1.181M 28%
$1.181M - $1.190M 27%
<$1.172M 16%
$1.190M - $1.199M 13%
<$1.172M
16%
$1.172M - $1.181M
28%
$1.181M - $1.190M
32%
$1.190M - $1.199M
13%
$1.199M - $1.208M
6%
$1.208M - $1.216M
5%
>$1.216M
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
마켓 개설일: Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent sales data through May 2026 show Los Angeles-area median prices holding near or slightly below prior-year levels at roughly $1.0 million, reflecting persistent affordability constraints from mortgage rates near 6.3 percent. Elevated financing costs continue to limit buyer demand and transaction volumes, producing the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $1.172 million–$1.190 million range. Seasonal spring activity and limited inventory provide modest counter-support, yet year-to-date softening and mixed leading indicators leave the precise June 30 reading contested. With resolution only weeks away, final May and June reports on sales, days on market, and rate-sensitive demand will determine whether values settle in the leading bins or shift lower.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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