Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Chicago home values and sale prices rising modestly year-over-year, with ZHVI near $326,000 in late May 2026 amid 3-6% appreciation driven by persistent low inventory and steady demand. Mortgage rates near 6% and limited supply continue to support upward pressure, though national forecasts point to tempered 2-5% gains for the year. With the two leading $339k–$345k bins holding nearly equal 19.5-20.5% implied probabilities, trader sentiment reflects tight uncertainty around June seasonal strength and any final data releases before resolution; small shifts in inventory reports or rate movements could readily reallocate probabilities across the narrow range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$342천 - $345천 20%
$339,000 - $342,000 15%
$339k 미만 13%
>$354k 초과 11%
$339k 미만
13%
$339,000 - $342,000
15%
$342천 - $345천
20%
$345,000 - $348,000
10%
$348,000 - $351,000
9%
$351,000 - $354,000
7%
>$354k 초과
11%
$342천 - $345천 20%
$339,000 - $342,000 15%
$339k 미만 13%
>$354k 초과 11%
$339k 미만
13%
$339,000 - $342,000
15%
$342천 - $345천
20%
$345,000 - $348,000
10%
$348,000 - $351,000
9%
$351,000 - $354,000
7%
>$354k 초과
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
마켓 개설일: Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Chicago home values and sale prices rising modestly year-over-year, with ZHVI near $326,000 in late May 2026 amid 3-6% appreciation driven by persistent low inventory and steady demand. Mortgage rates near 6% and limited supply continue to support upward pressure, though national forecasts point to tempered 2-5% gains for the year. With the two leading $339k–$345k bins holding nearly equal 19.5-20.5% implied probabilities, trader sentiment reflects tight uncertainty around June seasonal strength and any final data releases before resolution; small shifts in inventory reports or rate movements could readily reallocate probabilities across the narrow range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문