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icon for 6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?
이코노미·Parcl

6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?

icon for 6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?
이코노미·Parcl

6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?

$429,000 미만 38%

$429k - $431k 18%

$431,000 - $433,000 15%

$433k - $435k 11%

Polymarket
신규

$429,000 미만 38%

$429k - $431k 18%

$431,000 - $433,000 15%

$433k - $435k 11%

Polymarket
신규

$429,000 미만

$176 거래량

33%

$429k - $431k

$18 거래량

18%

$431,000 - $433,000

$1 거래량

15%

$433k - $435k

$1 거래량

11%

$435,000 - $437,000

$0 거래량

7%

$437k - $439k

$30 거래량

5%

$439,000 초과

$0 거래량

5%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent median existing-home sales prices reached $429,300 in May 2026 according to National Association of Realtors data, anchoring the widest market-implied probability at 33% for outcomes below $429,000. Slowing year-over-year appreciation of 0.7–1.7% through March, per FHFA and Case-Shiller indices, combined with 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% and mixed monthly price changes, has tempered upward momentum and widened the distribution across $429,000–$439,000 bands. Seasonal patterns, rising inventory, and pending June releases from NAR and FHFA introduce further uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution, keeping probabilities diffuse as traders weigh modest price stability against potential further softening.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
거래량
$227
종료일
2026.06.30
마켓 개설일
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent median existing-home sales prices reached $429,300 in May 2026 according to National Association of Realtors data, anchoring the widest market-implied probability at 33% for outcomes below $429,000. Slowing year-over-year appreciation of 0.7–1.7% through March, per FHFA and Case-Shiller indices, combined with 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% and mixed monthly price changes, has tempered upward momentum and widened the distribution across $429,000–$439,000 bands. Seasonal patterns, rising inventory, and pending June releases from NAR and FHFA introduce further uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution, keeping probabilities diffuse as traders weigh modest price stability against potential further softening.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
거래량
$227
종료일
2026.06.30
마켓 개설일
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?"은 7개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 33%의 "$429,000 미만"이며, 이어서 18%의 "$429k - $431k"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 33¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 33%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Jun 2, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 7개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?"의 현재 유력 후보는 33%의 "$429,000 미만"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 33%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 18%의 "$429k - $431k"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.