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icon for 6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?
이코노미·Parcl

6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?

icon for 6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?
이코노미·Parcl

6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?

$433k - $435k 55%

$435,000 - $437,000 40%

$437k - $439k 14%

$431,000 - $433,000 7%

Polymarket

$11,919 거래량

$433k - $435k 55%

$435,000 - $437,000 40%

$437k - $439k 14%

$431,000 - $433,000 7%

Polymarket

$11,919 거래량

$429,000 미만

$2,317 거래량

5%

$429k - $431k

$3,100 거래량

4%

$431,000 - $433,000

$2,328 거래량

7%

$433k - $435k

$1,726 거래량

55%

$435,000 - $437,000

$902 거래량

40%

$437k - $439k

$248 거래량

9%

$439,000 초과

$1,298 거래량

3%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent U.S. housing data show median listing and sale prices clustered near $400,000–$430,000, with notable softening. Realtor.com’s May 2026 median listing price fell 2.4% year-over-year to $429,500—the steepest annual drop since 2017—while Redfin’s median sale price reached $398,771 (+2.0% YoY) and Census Bureau Q1 median sales stood at $403,200, down for five straight quarters. FHFA’s House Price Index posted only modest gains (+0.5% QoQ, +1.7% YoY) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates, rising inventory, and subdued buyer demand. With resolution just days away on June 30, traders have priced the tightest probabilities around the $429k–$433k range, reflecting the latest cooling signals and limited scope for sharp upside before month-end.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
거래량
$11,919
종료일
2026.06.30
마켓 개설일
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent U.S. housing data show median listing and sale prices clustered near $400,000–$430,000, with notable softening. Realtor.com’s May 2026 median listing price fell 2.4% year-over-year to $429,500—the steepest annual drop since 2017—while Redfin’s median sale price reached $398,771 (+2.0% YoY) and Census Bureau Q1 median sales stood at $403,200, down for five straight quarters. FHFA’s House Price Index posted only modest gains (+0.5% QoQ, +1.7% YoY) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates, rising inventory, and subdued buyer demand. With resolution just days away on June 30, traders have priced the tightest probabilities around the $429k–$433k range, reflecting the latest cooling signals and limited scope for sharp upside before month-end.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
거래량
$11,919
종료일
2026.06.30
마켓 개설일
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?"은 7개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 56%의 "$433k - $435k"이며, 이어서 40%의 "$435,000 - $437,000"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 56¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 56%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?"은 총 $11.9K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Jun 2, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 7개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?"의 현재 유력 후보는 56%의 "$433k - $435k"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 56%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 40%의 "$435,000 - $437,000"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"6월 30일에 미국의 주택 중간값은 얼마가 될까요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.