Traders currently see Anthropic as the frontrunner for third place among AI developers by the end of May, driven by consistent benchmark gains and enterprise adoption of its latest Claude large language models. These releases have delivered measurable improvements in reasoning and safety features that position the company ahead of most rivals in third-party evaluations. Google sits in a close second slot thanks to iterative Gemini updates and deeper integration across its cloud and search platforms, which have sustained steady progress in multimodal capabilities. OpenAI, xAI, and Meta trail far behind in market-implied odds, reflecting slower recent advancements relative to the top contenders. Key catalysts ahead include any final model drops or conference announcements before May 31 that could still alter the competitive ordering.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Anthropic 61%
Google 41%
OpenAI 1.8%
xAI <1%
$91,022 거래량
$91,022 거래량
2026.05.31
Anthropic
61%
41%
OpenAI
2%
xAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
Meta
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meituan
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 61%
Google 41%
OpenAI 1.8%
xAI <1%
$91,022 거래량
$91,022 거래량
2026.05.31
Anthropic
$13,880 거래량
61%
$10,692 거래량
41%
OpenAI
$6,933 거래량
2%
xAI
$7,462 거래량
1%
Baidu
$5,736 거래량
<1%
Meta
$5,586 거래량
<1%
Z.ai
$4,345 거래량
<1%
ByteDance
$7,320 거래량
<1%
Alibaba
$5,483 거래량
<1%
Moonshot
$3,740 거래량
<1%
Meituan
$2,528 거래량
<1%
DeepSeek
$6,753 거래량
<1%
Microsoft
$3,591 거래량
<1%
Amazon
$2,361 거래량
<1%
Mistral
$4,613 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders currently see Anthropic as the frontrunner for third place among AI developers by the end of May, driven by consistent benchmark gains and enterprise adoption of its latest Claude large language models. These releases have delivered measurable improvements in reasoning and safety features that position the company ahead of most rivals in third-party evaluations. Google sits in a close second slot thanks to iterative Gemini updates and deeper integration across its cloud and search platforms, which have sustained steady progress in multimodal capabilities. OpenAI, xAI, and Meta trail far behind in market-implied odds, reflecting slower recent advancements relative to the top contenders. Key catalysts ahead include any final model drops or conference announcements before May 31 that could still alter the competitive ordering.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
거래량
$91,022종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders currently see Anthropic as the frontrunner for third place among AI developers by the end of May, driven by consistent benchmark gains and enterprise adoption of its latest Claude large language models. These releases have delivered measurable improvements in reasoning and safety features that position the company ahead of most rivals in third-party evaluations. Google sits in a close second slot thanks to iterative Gemini updates and deeper integration across its cloud and search platforms, which have sustained steady progress in multimodal capabilities. OpenAI, xAI, and Meta trail far behind in market-implied odds, reflecting slower recent advancements relative to the top contenders. Key catalysts ahead include any final model drops or conference announcements before May 31 that could still alter the competitive ordering.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
거래량
$91,022종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders currently see Anthropic as the frontrunner for third place among AI developers by the end of May, driven by consistent benchmark gains and enterprise adoption of its latest Claude large language models. These releases have delivered measurable improvements in reasoning and safety features that position the company ahead of most rivals in third-party evaluations. Google sits in a close second slot thanks to iterative Gemini updates and deeper integration across its cloud and search platforms, which have sustained steady progress in multimodal capabilities. OpenAI, xAI, and Meta trail far behind in market-implied odds, reflecting slower recent advancements relative to the top contenders. Key catalysts ahead include any final model drops or conference announcements before May 31 that could still alter the competitive ordering.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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