Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey commands the strongest trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability thanks to the director’s recent Best Picture success, a star-packed ensemble, and early trailer footage signaling dominant technical and craft nominations. Dune: Messiah sits at 22.5% as the likely conclusion to a franchise with proven awards momentum in visual categories. Steven Spielberg’s Disclosure Day and the Ryan Gosling-led Project Hail Mary follow at 12.0% and 10.1%, respectively, buoyed by their high-profile pedigrees and anticipated summer critical reception. With release dates clustered in the coming months, early reviews, guild tracking, and box-office performance will determine whether these frontrunners extend their leads or face late surges from competitors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트제99회 아카데미 시상식에서 오스카상 후보에 가장 많이 오를 영화는?
제99회 아카데미 시상식에서 오스카상 후보에 가장 많이 오를 영화는?
오디세이 48%
듄: 메시아 23%
디스클로저 데이 12%
프로젝트 헤일 메리 10.1%
$18,010 거래량
$18,010 거래량
2027.02.28
오디세이
48%
듄: 메시아
23%
디스클로저 데이
12%
프로젝트 헤일 메리
10%
폭풍의 언덕
4%
더 브라이드!
1%
소셜 레코닝
<1%
야생마 나인
<1%
오디세이 48%
듄: 메시아 23%
디스클로저 데이 12%
프로젝트 헤일 메리 10.1%
$18,010 거래량
$18,010 거래량
2027.02.28
오디세이
$5,423 거래량
48%
듄: 메시아
$3,411 거래량
23%
디스클로저 데이
$2,855 거래량
12%
프로젝트 헤일 메리
$2,320 거래량
10%
폭풍의 언덕
$1,782 거래량
4%
더 브라이드!
$1,381 거래량
1%
소셜 레코닝
$539 거래량
<1%
야생마 나인
$298 거래량
<1%
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey commands the strongest trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability thanks to the director’s recent Best Picture success, a star-packed ensemble, and early trailer footage signaling dominant technical and craft nominations. Dune: Messiah sits at 22.5% as the likely conclusion to a franchise with proven awards momentum in visual categories. Steven Spielberg’s Disclosure Day and the Ryan Gosling-led Project Hail Mary follow at 12.0% and 10.1%, respectively, buoyed by their high-profile pedigrees and anticipated summer critical reception. With release dates clustered in the coming months, early reviews, guild tracking, and box-office performance will determine whether these frontrunners extend their leads or face late surges from competitors.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
거래량
$18,010종료일
2027.02.28마켓 개설일
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey commands the strongest trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability thanks to the director’s recent Best Picture success, a star-packed ensemble, and early trailer footage signaling dominant technical and craft nominations. Dune: Messiah sits at 22.5% as the likely conclusion to a franchise with proven awards momentum in visual categories. Steven Spielberg’s Disclosure Day and the Ryan Gosling-led Project Hail Mary follow at 12.0% and 10.1%, respectively, buoyed by their high-profile pedigrees and anticipated summer critical reception. With release dates clustered in the coming months, early reviews, guild tracking, and box-office performance will determine whether these frontrunners extend their leads or face late surges from competitors.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$18,010종료일
2027.02.28마켓 개설일
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey commands the strongest trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability thanks to the director’s recent Best Picture success, a star-packed ensemble, and early trailer footage signaling dominant technical and craft nominations. Dune: Messiah sits at 22.5% as the likely conclusion to a franchise with proven awards momentum in visual categories. Steven Spielberg’s Disclosure Day and the Ryan Gosling-led Project Hail Mary follow at 12.0% and 10.1%, respectively, buoyed by their high-profile pedigrees and anticipated summer critical reception. With release dates clustered in the coming months, early reviews, guild tracking, and box-office performance will determine whether these frontrunners extend their leads or face late surges from competitors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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