FIFA officials, including President Gianni Infantino, have repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, with the team advancing through AFC qualifying and recently securing approval to shift its training base from Arizona to Tijuana, Mexico, to address visa and security concerns tied to regional tensions. Iran has named an initial 30-man squad and holds scheduled group-stage matches starting June 15, reinforcing the consensus that no vacancy exists. Italy publicly rejected any replacement proposal as inappropriate and inconsistent with on-field qualification standards, while FIFA sources have dismissed related suggestions outright. Potential late disruptions, such as an unforeseen withdrawal over security or logistical issues, remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome, though recent federation statements and preparations make that scenario improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트No Replacement 99.7%
Italy <1%
UAE <1%
Other <1%
$96,762 거래량
$96,762 거래량

No Replacement
100%

Italy
1%

UAE
<1%

Other
<1%

Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 99.7%
Italy <1%
UAE <1%
Other <1%
$96,762 거래량
$96,762 거래량

No Replacement
100%

Italy
1%

UAE
<1%

Other
<1%

Bolivia
<1%
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA officials, including President Gianni Infantino, have repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, with the team advancing through AFC qualifying and recently securing approval to shift its training base from Arizona to Tijuana, Mexico, to address visa and security concerns tied to regional tensions. Iran has named an initial 30-man squad and holds scheduled group-stage matches starting June 15, reinforcing the consensus that no vacancy exists. Italy publicly rejected any replacement proposal as inappropriate and inconsistent with on-field qualification standards, while FIFA sources have dismissed related suggestions outright. Potential late disruptions, such as an unforeseen withdrawal over security or logistical issues, remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome, though recent federation statements and preparations make that scenario improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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