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icon for 누가 번햄 캐비닛에 있게 되나요?

누가 번햄 캐비닛에 있게 되나요?

icon for 누가 번햄 캐비닛에 있게 되나요?

누가 번햄 캐비닛에 있게 되나요?

신규
2026.12.31
Polymarket

$0.00 거래량

Polymarket
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존 힐리

$0 거래량

57%

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에드 밀리밴드

$0 거래량

56%

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리사 낸디

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56%

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이베트 쿠퍼

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55%

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Keir Starmer

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51%

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팻 맥패든

$0 거래량

51%

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브리짓 필립슨

$0 거래량

51%

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조 스티븐스

$0 거래량

51%

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제스 필립스

$0 거래량

51%

icon for Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting

$0 거래량

51%

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데이비드 래미

$0 거래량

51%

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스티브 리드

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50%

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50%

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리즈 켄달

$0 거래량

50%

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이안 머레이

$0 거래량

50%

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레이첼 리브스

$0 거래량

50%

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샤바나 마무드

$0 거래량

50%

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헤이디 알렉산더

$0 거래량

50%

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피터 카일

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50%

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앨런 캠벨

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50%

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댄 자비스

$0 거래량

50%

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조너선 레이놀즈

$0 거래량

50%

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캐서린 웨스트

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50%

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패트릭 발런스

$0 거래량

49%

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재키 스미스

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49%

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제임스 머레이

$0 거래량

49%

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앵겔라 레이너

$0 거래량

48%

icon for 힐러리 벤

힐러리 벤

$0 거래량

48%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham is widely expected to become UK prime minister within weeks following Keir Starmer’s resignation as Labour leader on June 22, 2026, after Burnham’s decisive Makerfield by-election victory. Trader focus centers on his likely cabinet reshuffle, with early signals pointing to retention or promotion of figures such as Ed Miliband, Shabana Mahmood, and Wes Streeting, alongside possible demotions for Starmer-aligned ministers like Rachel Reeves. Key variables include Burnham’s need to balance soft-left allies with broader party unity, Senate-style confirmation dynamics in Labour’s internal processes, and any rapid policy shifts on fiscal rules or public ownership that could alter appointments before a July formation window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.

Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.

To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.

If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$0
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Jun 23, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham is widely expected to become UK prime minister within weeks following Keir Starmer’s resignation as Labour leader on June 22, 2026, after Burnham’s decisive Makerfield by-election victory. Trader focus centers on his likely cabinet reshuffle, with early signals pointing to retention or promotion of figures such as Ed Miliband, Shabana Mahmood, and Wes Streeting, alongside possible demotions for Starmer-aligned ministers like Rachel Reeves. Key variables include Burnham’s need to balance soft-left allies with broader party unity, Senate-style confirmation dynamics in Labour’s internal processes, and any rapid policy shifts on fiscal rules or public ownership that could alter appointments before a July formation window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.

Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.

To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.

If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$0
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Jun 23, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"누가 번햄 캐비닛에 있게 되나요?"은 28개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 57%의 "존 힐리"이며, 이어서 56%의 "에드 밀리밴드"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 57¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 57%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"누가 번햄 캐비닛에 있게 되나요?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Jun 23, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"누가 번햄 캐비닛에 있게 되나요?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 28개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"누가 번햄 캐비닛에 있게 되나요?"의 현재 유력 후보는 57%의 "존 힐리"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 57%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 56%의 "에드 밀리밴드"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"누가 번햄 캐비닛에 있게 되나요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.