OpenAI's April 2026 launch of the GPT-5.5 series, including GPT-5.5 Pro posting an Arena Elo near 1510, has tightened the race at the top of the LMSYS-derived leaderboard alongside Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 at 1505 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro variants. These releases reflect aggressive scaling of large language models, with gains driven by improved reasoning chains, larger context windows, and post-training optimizations rather than raw parameter counts. Competitive pressure from xAI's ongoing Grok updates and Meta's internal progress adds volatility, while the September 30 deadline sits well before typical major conference cycles like NeurIPS or potential regulatory reviews of frontier capabilities. Traders should watch for any mid-summer model refreshes or benchmark leaks that could push the overall Arena ceiling higher before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$31,132 거래량
2026.09.30
1510
78%
1520
50%
1530
33%
1540
27%
1550
15%
$31,132 거래량
1510
$11,833 거래량
78%
1520
$3,169 거래량
50%
1530
$6,027 거래량
33%
1540
$2,025 거래량
27%
1550
$8,079 거래량
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".OpenAI's April 2026 launch of the GPT-5.5 series, including GPT-5.5 Pro posting an Arena Elo near 1510, has tightened the race at the top of the LMSYS-derived leaderboard alongside Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 at 1505 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro variants. These releases reflect aggressive scaling of large language models, with gains driven by improved reasoning chains, larger context windows, and post-training optimizations rather than raw parameter counts. Competitive pressure from xAI's ongoing Grok updates and Meta's internal progress adds volatility, while the September 30 deadline sits well before typical major conference cycles like NeurIPS or potential regulatory reviews of frontier capabilities. Traders should watch for any mid-summer model refreshes or benchmark leaks that could push the overall Arena ceiling higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
마켓 개설일: Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
거래량
$31,132종료일
2026.09.30마켓 개설일
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".OpenAI's April 2026 launch of the GPT-5.5 series, including GPT-5.5 Pro posting an Arena Elo near 1510, has tightened the race at the top of the LMSYS-derived leaderboard alongside Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 at 1505 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro variants. These releases reflect aggressive scaling of large language models, with gains driven by improved reasoning chains, larger context windows, and post-training optimizations rather than raw parameter counts. Competitive pressure from xAI's ongoing Grok updates and Meta's internal progress adds volatility, while the September 30 deadline sits well before typical major conference cycles like NeurIPS or potential regulatory reviews of frontier capabilities. Traders should watch for any mid-summer model refreshes or benchmark leaks that could push the overall Arena ceiling higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
거래량
$31,132종료일
2026.09.30마켓 개설일
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's April 2026 launch of the GPT-5.5 series, including GPT-5.5 Pro posting an Arena Elo near 1510, has tightened the race at the top of the LMSYS-derived leaderboard alongside Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 at 1505 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro variants. These releases reflect aggressive scaling of large language models, with gains driven by improved reasoning chains, larger context windows, and post-training optimizations rather than raw parameter counts. Competitive pressure from xAI's ongoing Grok updates and Meta's internal progress adds volatility, while the September 30 deadline sits well before typical major conference cycles like NeurIPS or potential regulatory reviews of frontier capabilities. Traders should watch for any mid-summer model refreshes or benchmark leaks that could push the overall Arena ceiling higher before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문