Apple’s established pattern of annual flagship smartphone launches, combined with recent supply-chain reports confirming production ramps for the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models, underpins the 88.4% market-implied odds of a 2026 release. Multiple credible leakers and analysts, including details on extended iPhone 17 production and component sharing, indicate Apple will debut premium iPhone 18 variants alongside a new foldable device in September 2026 while shifting standard models to early 2027. This deliberate split strategy—driven by competitive positioning against Android rivals and manufacturing efficiencies—has not altered the core timeline for high-end devices, keeping trader consensus firmly aligned with a 2026 debut for at least part of the lineup. No regulatory or technical setbacks have emerged to disrupt these plans.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$99,180 거래량
$99,180 거래량
2026.12.31
$99,180 거래량
$99,180 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s established pattern of annual flagship smartphone launches, combined with recent supply-chain reports confirming production ramps for the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models, underpins the 88.4% market-implied odds of a 2026 release. Multiple credible leakers and analysts, including details on extended iPhone 17 production and component sharing, indicate Apple will debut premium iPhone 18 variants alongside a new foldable device in September 2026 while shifting standard models to early 2027. This deliberate split strategy—driven by competitive positioning against Android rivals and manufacturing efficiencies—has not altered the core timeline for high-end devices, keeping trader consensus firmly aligned with a 2026 debut for at least part of the lineup. No regulatory or technical setbacks have emerged to disrupt these plans.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
거래량
$99,180종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s established pattern of annual flagship smartphone launches, combined with recent supply-chain reports confirming production ramps for the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models, underpins the 88.4% market-implied odds of a 2026 release. Multiple credible leakers and analysts, including details on extended iPhone 17 production and component sharing, indicate Apple will debut premium iPhone 18 variants alongside a new foldable device in September 2026 while shifting standard models to early 2027. This deliberate split strategy—driven by competitive positioning against Android rivals and manufacturing efficiencies—has not altered the core timeline for high-end devices, keeping trader consensus firmly aligned with a 2026 debut for at least part of the lineup. No regulatory or technical setbacks have emerged to disrupt these plans.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$99,180종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s established pattern of annual flagship smartphone launches, combined with recent supply-chain reports confirming production ramps for the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models, underpins the 88.4% market-implied odds of a 2026 release. Multiple credible leakers and analysts, including details on extended iPhone 17 production and component sharing, indicate Apple will debut premium iPhone 18 variants alongside a new foldable device in September 2026 while shifting standard models to early 2027. This deliberate split strategy—driven by competitive positioning against Android rivals and manufacturing efficiencies—has not altered the core timeline for high-end devices, keeping trader consensus firmly aligned with a 2026 debut for at least part of the lineup. No regulatory or technical setbacks have emerged to disrupt these plans.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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