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icon for Figure의 F.03 로봇은 동부 표준시 기준 5월 21일 오후 10시까지 고장 없이 작동합니까?

Figure의 F.03 로봇은 동부 표준시 기준 5월 21일 오후 10시까지 고장 없이 작동합니까?

icon for Figure의 F.03 로봇은 동부 표준시 기준 5월 21일 오후 10시까지 고장 없이 작동합니까?

Figure의 F.03 로봇은 동부 표준시 기준 5월 21일 오후 10시까지 고장 없이 작동합니까?

83% 확률
Polymarket
신규

83% 확률
Polymarket
신규
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred. If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s F.03 humanoid robots have already demonstrated more than 167 consecutive hours of fully autonomous package sorting on a live stream, powered by the company’s proprietary Helix-02 large language model for real-time perception, grasping, and error correction. This sustained run at near-human speeds, far exceeding the original eight-hour test goal, has anchored trader confidence that the fleet will complete the final stretch through May 21 without interruption. Recent production ramp-up at BotQ, now delivering one robot per hour, has expanded the test fleet while incremental hardware refinements in battery safety, sensor fusion, and tactile hands further reduce failure risk in this controlled logistics setting. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the market-implied 82.5% probability for “Yes” reflects traders’ assessment of proven endurance against the modest remaining window.

Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.

If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$3,038
종료일
2026.05.21
마켓 개설일
May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ET
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred. If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred. If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s F.03 humanoid robots have already demonstrated more than 167 consecutive hours of fully autonomous package sorting on a live stream, powered by the company’s proprietary Helix-02 large language model for real-time perception, grasping, and error correction. This sustained run at near-human speeds, far exceeding the original eight-hour test goal, has anchored trader confidence that the fleet will complete the final stretch through May 21 without interruption. Recent production ramp-up at BotQ, now delivering one robot per hour, has expanded the test fleet while incremental hardware refinements in battery safety, sensor fusion, and tactile hands further reduce failure risk in this controlled logistics setting. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the market-implied 82.5% probability for “Yes” reflects traders’ assessment of proven endurance against the modest remaining window.

Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.

If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$3,038
종료일
2026.05.21
마켓 개설일
May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ET
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred. If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"Figure의 F.03 로봇은 동부 표준시 기준 5월 21일 오후 10시까지 고장 없이 작동합니까?"은 2개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 83%의 "Figure의 F.03 로봇이 5월 21일 오후 10시(미 동부시간)까지 고장 없이 작동할까요?"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 83¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 83%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"Figure의 F.03 로봇은 동부 표준시 기준 5월 21일 오후 10시까지 고장 없이 작동합니까?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, May 19, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"Figure의 F.03 로봇은 동부 표준시 기준 5월 21일 오후 10시까지 고장 없이 작동합니까?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 2개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Figure의 F.03 로봇은 동부 표준시 기준 5월 21일 오후 10시까지 고장 없이 작동합니까?"의 현재 유력 후보는 83%의 "Figure의 F.03 로봇이 5월 21일 오후 10시(미 동부시간)까지 고장 없이 작동할까요?"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 83%의 확률을 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Figure의 F.03 로봇은 동부 표준시 기준 5월 21일 오후 10시까지 고장 없이 작동합니까?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.