SpaceX's confidential SEC filing and accelerated timeline toward a June 2026 listing have cemented trader consensus that it will IPO ahead of OpenAI, whose preparations point to a potential Q4 2026 or 2027 debut. The aerospace leader has already outlined retail share allocations, roadshow details, and a $1.5–2 trillion valuation target, giving it clear execution momentum over the artificial intelligence lab still building toward regulatory readiness. While OpenAI has discussed raising up to $60 billion at a $1 trillion valuation, internal commentary from its CFO on needing additional clean quarters underscores the gap. Market-implied odds above 99 percent reflect this structural lead, though last-minute regulatory reviews or macroeconomic shifts could still compress timelines for either company.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트스페이스X
$73,403 거래량
$73,403 거래량
2027.12.31
스페이스X
$73,403 거래량
$73,403 거래량
2027.12.31
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing and accelerated timeline toward a June 2026 listing have cemented trader consensus that it will IPO ahead of OpenAI, whose preparations point to a potential Q4 2026 or 2027 debut. The aerospace leader has already outlined retail share allocations, roadshow details, and a $1.5–2 trillion valuation target, giving it clear execution momentum over the artificial intelligence lab still building toward regulatory readiness. While OpenAI has discussed raising up to $60 billion at a $1 trillion valuation, internal commentary from its CFO on needing additional clean quarters underscores the gap. Market-implied odds above 99 percent reflect this structural lead, though last-minute regulatory reviews or macroeconomic shifts could still compress timelines for either company.
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
거래량
$73,403종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing and accelerated timeline toward a June 2026 listing have cemented trader consensus that it will IPO ahead of OpenAI, whose preparations point to a potential Q4 2026 or 2027 debut. The aerospace leader has already outlined retail share allocations, roadshow details, and a $1.5–2 trillion valuation target, giving it clear execution momentum over the artificial intelligence lab still building toward regulatory readiness. While OpenAI has discussed raising up to $60 billion at a $1 trillion valuation, internal commentary from its CFO on needing additional clean quarters underscores the gap. Market-implied odds above 99 percent reflect this structural lead, though last-minute regulatory reviews or macroeconomic shifts could still compress timelines for either company.
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$73,403종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing and accelerated timeline toward a June 2026 listing have cemented trader consensus that it will IPO ahead of OpenAI, whose preparations point to a potential Q4 2026 or 2027 debut. The aerospace leader has already outlined retail share allocations, roadshow details, and a $1.5–2 trillion valuation target, giving it clear execution momentum over the artificial intelligence lab still building toward regulatory readiness. While OpenAI has discussed raising up to $60 billion at a $1 trillion valuation, internal commentary from its CFO on needing additional clean quarters underscores the gap. Market-implied odds above 99 percent reflect this structural lead, though last-minute regulatory reviews or macroeconomic shifts could still compress timelines for either company.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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