Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman after mail ballots shifted the second spot during extended counting. Traders have focused on whether Pratt would formally concede the non-advancement or prolong uncertainty, given his early pledge to leave the city if defeated and public pressure from Donald Trump’s unfounded fraud claims. Pratt delayed acknowledgment through June 11 while questioning ongoing tallies, then posted a June 12 video stating the campaign phase of his effort had ended, accepting the outcome without contesting results, and vowing continued attacks on the runoff candidates. This timeline has driven rapid repricing on dated concession markets, with later deadlines now reflecting higher implied probabilities based on the observed statement and absence of legal challenges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,048 거래량
2026.07.03
6월 15일
45%
7월 2일
55%
$18,048 거래량
6월 15일
$10,033 거래량
45%
7월 2일
$3,311 거래량
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman after mail ballots shifted the second spot during extended counting. Traders have focused on whether Pratt would formally concede the non-advancement or prolong uncertainty, given his early pledge to leave the city if defeated and public pressure from Donald Trump’s unfounded fraud claims. Pratt delayed acknowledgment through June 11 while questioning ongoing tallies, then posted a June 12 video stating the campaign phase of his effort had ended, accepting the outcome without contesting results, and vowing continued attacks on the runoff candidates. This timeline has driven rapid repricing on dated concession markets, with later deadlines now reflecting higher implied probabilities based on the observed statement and absence of legal challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
마켓 개설일: Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
거래량
$18,048종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman after mail ballots shifted the second spot during extended counting. Traders have focused on whether Pratt would formally concede the non-advancement or prolong uncertainty, given his early pledge to leave the city if defeated and public pressure from Donald Trump’s unfounded fraud claims. Pratt delayed acknowledgment through June 11 while questioning ongoing tallies, then posted a June 12 video stating the campaign phase of his effort had ended, accepting the outcome without contesting results, and vowing continued attacks on the runoff candidates. This timeline has driven rapid repricing on dated concession markets, with later deadlines now reflecting higher implied probabilities based on the observed statement and absence of legal challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
거래량
$18,048종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman after mail ballots shifted the second spot during extended counting. Traders have focused on whether Pratt would formally concede the non-advancement or prolong uncertainty, given his early pledge to leave the city if defeated and public pressure from Donald Trump’s unfounded fraud claims. Pratt delayed acknowledgment through June 11 while questioning ongoing tallies, then posted a June 12 video stating the campaign phase of his effort had ended, accepting the outcome without contesting results, and vowing continued attacks on the runoff candidates. This timeline has driven rapid repricing on dated concession markets, with later deadlines now reflecting higher implied probabilities based on the observed statement and absence of legal challenges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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