The U.S. military conducted limited airstrikes and a targeted raid in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid charges of narcotics trafficking and regime ties. This operation, framed by the Trump administration as a law-enforcement action rather than a broader conflict, avoided large-scale ground forces, sustained occupation, or declarations under the War Powers Resolution. Trader sentiment has centered on whether these events satisfied the market’s definition of an “invasion” by the specified deadline, with the outcome hinging on procedural resolution criteria rather than ongoing military escalation. No additional U.S. deployments or major diplomatic shifts have followed in the subsequent months, keeping focus on verification of the January events and any potential late adjustments to sanctions or regional policy.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,154,641 거래량
12월 31일
11%
$14,154,641 거래량
12월 31일
11%
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. military conducted limited airstrikes and a targeted raid in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid charges of narcotics trafficking and regime ties. This operation, framed by the Trump administration as a law-enforcement action rather than a broader conflict, avoided large-scale ground forces, sustained occupation, or declarations under the War Powers Resolution. Trader sentiment has centered on whether these events satisfied the market’s definition of an “invasion” by the specified deadline, with the outcome hinging on procedural resolution criteria rather than ongoing military escalation. No additional U.S. deployments or major diplomatic shifts have followed in the subsequent months, keeping focus on verification of the January events and any potential late adjustments to sanctions or regional policy.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문