The elevated trader consensus against Donald Trump resigning by December 31, 2026 reflects the absence of any official statements, health developments, or institutional pressures that would prompt such an outcome during his second term. Trump continues to pursue an active agenda of executive actions, legislative priorities, and public engagements with no reported signals of withdrawal. Historical precedents for presidential resignations remain limited to exceptional crises, none of which are present here. With more than three years left in his term after the 2024 election, the implied probability aligns with expectations that he will complete his full tenure barring unanticipated developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$431,570 거래량
$431,570 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$431,570 거래량
$431,570 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The elevated trader consensus against Donald Trump resigning by December 31, 2026 reflects the absence of any official statements, health developments, or institutional pressures that would prompt such an outcome during his second term. Trump continues to pursue an active agenda of executive actions, legislative priorities, and public engagements with no reported signals of withdrawal. Historical precedents for presidential resignations remain limited to exceptional crises, none of which are present here. With more than three years left in his term after the 2024 election, the implied probability aligns with expectations that he will complete his full tenure barring unanticipated developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
거래량
$431,570종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The elevated trader consensus against Donald Trump resigning by December 31, 2026 reflects the absence of any official statements, health developments, or institutional pressures that would prompt such an outcome during his second term. Trump continues to pursue an active agenda of executive actions, legislative priorities, and public engagements with no reported signals of withdrawal. Historical precedents for presidential resignations remain limited to exceptional crises, none of which are present here. With more than three years left in his term after the 2024 election, the implied probability aligns with expectations that he will complete his full tenure barring unanticipated developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$431,570종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...The elevated trader consensus against Donald Trump resigning by December 31, 2026 reflects the absence of any official statements, health developments, or institutional pressures that would prompt such an outcome during his second term. Trump continues to pursue an active agenda of executive actions, legislative priorities, and public engagements with no reported signals of withdrawal. Historical precedents for presidential resignations remain limited to exceptional crises, none of which are present here. With more than three years left in his term after the 2024 election, the implied probability aligns with expectations that he will complete his full tenure barring unanticipated developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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