President Donald Trump’s brief launch of Project Freedom on May 4 to escort commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz, followed by its pause less than 48 hours later, remains the central driver of trader focus on any restart. The operation was halted amid progress in U.S.-Iran talks aimed at a broader peace agreement and after Saudi Arabia declined use of its bases and airspace. Recent statements from Trump have raised the possibility of resuming the effort, potentially in an expanded form labeled Project Freedom Plus, if negotiations stall or Iran fails to finalize terms within the current window. Ongoing diplomatic exchanges, regional pressure from neighboring states, and the status of the extended cease-fire continue to shape expectations for whether military escort operations will resume before key deadlines in the coming weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$288,706 거래량
May 31
38%
$288,706 거래량
May 31
38%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 11:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s brief launch of Project Freedom on May 4 to escort commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz, followed by its pause less than 48 hours later, remains the central driver of trader focus on any restart. The operation was halted amid progress in U.S.-Iran talks aimed at a broader peace agreement and after Saudi Arabia declined use of its bases and airspace. Recent statements from Trump have raised the possibility of resuming the effort, potentially in an expanded form labeled Project Freedom Plus, if negotiations stall or Iran fails to finalize terms within the current window. Ongoing diplomatic exchanges, regional pressure from neighboring states, and the status of the extended cease-fire continue to shape expectations for whether military escort operations will resume before key deadlines in the coming weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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