Traders assign an 88% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion market cap because the artificial-intelligence company has accelerated its valuation trajectory through successive large private rounds, most recently reaching $380 billion after a $30 billion Series G in February 2026 and now pursuing $30–50 billion more at up to $900–950 billion. Recent reporting shows Anthropic engaging bankers and law firms for a potential October 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion, supported by rapid revenue growth in enterprise large-language-model deployments and competitive positioning against OpenAI. The modest 10% chance assigned to no IPO by December 2027 reflects the absence of regulatory or technical hurdles that would delay a public debut, while lower brackets remain thinly priced given the momentum in AI funding and the company’s demonstrated scaling. Key catalysts to watch include closure of the current private round and any SEC filing that would lock in an IPO timeline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
600B+ 89%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 10%
400–600B 1.6%
300–400B <1%
$298,162 Wol.
$298,162 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
2%
600B+
89%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
10%
600B+ 89%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 10%
400–600B 1.6%
300–400B <1%
$298,162 Wol.
$298,162 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$138,188 Wol.
<1%
100–200B
$53,875 Wol.
<1%
200–300B
$8,872 Wol.
<1%
300–400B
$60,101 Wol.
<1%
400–600B
$9,133 Wol.
2%
600B+
$15,320 Wol.
89%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$12,673 Wol.
10%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign an 88% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion market cap because the artificial-intelligence company has accelerated its valuation trajectory through successive large private rounds, most recently reaching $380 billion after a $30 billion Series G in February 2026 and now pursuing $30–50 billion more at up to $900–950 billion. Recent reporting shows Anthropic engaging bankers and law firms for a potential October 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion, supported by rapid revenue growth in enterprise large-language-model deployments and competitive positioning against OpenAI. The modest 10% chance assigned to no IPO by December 2027 reflects the absence of regulatory or technical hurdles that would delay a public debut, while lower brackets remain thinly priced given the momentum in AI funding and the company’s demonstrated scaling. Key catalysts to watch include closure of the current private round and any SEC filing that would lock in an IPO timeline.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$298,162Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign an 88% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion market cap because the artificial-intelligence company has accelerated its valuation trajectory through successive large private rounds, most recently reaching $380 billion after a $30 billion Series G in February 2026 and now pursuing $30–50 billion more at up to $900–950 billion. Recent reporting shows Anthropic engaging bankers and law firms for a potential October 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion, supported by rapid revenue growth in enterprise large-language-model deployments and competitive positioning against OpenAI. The modest 10% chance assigned to no IPO by December 2027 reflects the absence of regulatory or technical hurdles that would delay a public debut, while lower brackets remain thinly priced given the momentum in AI funding and the company’s demonstrated scaling. Key catalysts to watch include closure of the current private round and any SEC filing that would lock in an IPO timeline.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$298,162Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign an 88% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion market cap because the artificial-intelligence company has accelerated its valuation trajectory through successive large private rounds, most recently reaching $380 billion after a $30 billion Series G in February 2026 and now pursuing $30–50 billion more at up to $900–950 billion. Recent reporting shows Anthropic engaging bankers and law firms for a potential October 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion, supported by rapid revenue growth in enterprise large-language-model deployments and competitive positioning against OpenAI. The modest 10% chance assigned to no IPO by December 2027 reflects the absence of regulatory or technical hurdles that would delay a public debut, while lower brackets remain thinly priced given the momentum in AI funding and the company’s demonstrated scaling. Key catalysts to watch include closure of the current private round and any SEC filing that would lock in an IPO timeline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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