Argentina’s official USD exchange rate, currently near 1,507 ARS, reflects ongoing monetary stabilization under the exchange-rate band regime, where the band’s crawl adjusts to lagged inflation readings. Recent monthly CPI prints have eased to 1.7 percent in August—the slowest pace in over a year—supporting continued disinflation toward the government’s 29 percent full-year target while the BCRA maintains reserve accumulation and fiscal surpluses. These dynamics have anchored trader expectations for contained depreciation through year-end, producing the tight contest between the sub-1,600 and 1,600–1,699 brackets. Key near-term catalysts include September inflation data, congressional review of the 2027 budget projecting further cooling, and any adjustments to the band’s monthly pace that could influence the final fixing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$21,958 Wol.
$21,958 Wol.
<1600.00
43%
1600.00–1699.99
34%
1700.00–1799.99
9%
1800.00–1899.99
6%
1900.00–1999.99
15%
2000.00+
4%
$21,958 Wol.
$21,958 Wol.
<1600.00
43%
1600.00–1699.99
34%
1700.00–1799.99
9%
1800.00–1899.99
6%
1900.00–1999.99
15%
2000.00+
4%
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s official USD exchange rate, currently near 1,507 ARS, reflects ongoing monetary stabilization under the exchange-rate band regime, where the band’s crawl adjusts to lagged inflation readings. Recent monthly CPI prints have eased to 1.7 percent in August—the slowest pace in over a year—supporting continued disinflation toward the government’s 29 percent full-year target while the BCRA maintains reserve accumulation and fiscal surpluses. These dynamics have anchored trader expectations for contained depreciation through year-end, producing the tight contest between the sub-1,600 and 1,600–1,699 brackets. Key near-term catalysts include September inflation data, congressional review of the 2027 budget projecting further cooling, and any adjustments to the band’s monthly pace that could influence the final fixing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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