Argentina’s official USD/ARS exchange rate trades near 1,488 amid a managed crawling band that, since January 2026, adjusts the ceiling and floor monthly by the prior two-month inflation print rather than a fixed 1% pace. With monthly inflation still near 2% and the BCRA prioritizing reserve accumulation through dollar purchases within the band, the peso continues a gradual nominal depreciation. IMF and consensus forecasts embed year-end inflation around 25% y/y, supporting further band widening through December. This policy mix, backed by the $20 billion U.S. swap facility and improved post-midterm political stability, underpins trader pricing that places the highest probability (64.5%) on a close above 1,600 while assigning only modest weight to narrower ranges below 1,550. Key near-term catalysts include August–November inflation releases and BCRA FX intervention data that will shape the final band adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1600.00+ 64%
1550.00–1599.99 12.6%
1500.00–1549.99 12.5%
1450.00–1499.99 8.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
<1250.00
3%
1250.00–1299.99
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
4%
1450.00–1499.99
8%
1500.00–1549.99
13%
1550.00–1599.99
13%
1600.00+
64%
1600.00+ 64%
1550.00–1599.99 12.6%
1500.00–1549.99 12.5%
1450.00–1499.99 8.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
<1250.00
$536 Wol.
3%
1250.00–1299.99
$790 Wol.
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
$677 Wol.
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
$730 Wol.
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
$1,239 Wol.
4%
1450.00–1499.99
$1,264 Wol.
8%
1500.00–1549.99
$1,171 Wol.
13%
1550.00–1599.99
$694 Wol.
13%
1600.00+
$1,902 Wol.
64%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS exchange rate trades near 1,488 amid a managed crawling band that, since January 2026, adjusts the ceiling and floor monthly by the prior two-month inflation print rather than a fixed 1% pace. With monthly inflation still near 2% and the BCRA prioritizing reserve accumulation through dollar purchases within the band, the peso continues a gradual nominal depreciation. IMF and consensus forecasts embed year-end inflation around 25% y/y, supporting further band widening through December. This policy mix, backed by the $20 billion U.S. swap facility and improved post-midterm political stability, underpins trader pricing that places the highest probability (64.5%) on a close above 1,600 while assigning only modest weight to narrower ranges below 1,550. Key near-term catalysts include August–November inflation releases and BCRA FX intervention data that will shape the final band adjustments.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,003Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS exchange rate trades near 1,488 amid a managed crawling band that, since January 2026, adjusts the ceiling and floor monthly by the prior two-month inflation print rather than a fixed 1% pace. With monthly inflation still near 2% and the BCRA prioritizing reserve accumulation through dollar purchases within the band, the peso continues a gradual nominal depreciation. IMF and consensus forecasts embed year-end inflation around 25% y/y, supporting further band widening through December. This policy mix, backed by the $20 billion U.S. swap facility and improved post-midterm political stability, underpins trader pricing that places the highest probability (64.5%) on a close above 1,600 while assigning only modest weight to narrower ranges below 1,550. Key near-term catalysts include August–November inflation releases and BCRA FX intervention data that will shape the final band adjustments.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$9,003Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s official USD/ARS exchange rate trades near 1,488 amid a managed crawling band that, since January 2026, adjusts the ceiling and floor monthly by the prior two-month inflation print rather than a fixed 1% pace. With monthly inflation still near 2% and the BCRA prioritizing reserve accumulation through dollar purchases within the band, the peso continues a gradual nominal depreciation. IMF and consensus forecasts embed year-end inflation around 25% y/y, supporting further band widening through December. This policy mix, backed by the $20 billion U.S. swap facility and improved post-midterm political stability, underpins trader pricing that places the highest probability (64.5%) on a close above 1,600 while assigning only modest weight to narrower ranges below 1,550. Key near-term catalysts include August–November inflation releases and BCRA FX intervention data that will shape the final band adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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