Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment heading into the second half of 2026. With the Fed holding its target range at 3.50%–3.75% and futures pricing limited additional easing, while the ECB maintains its deposit rate at 2.15% amid euro-area headline inflation near 2.5–3.0%, the narrowing rate differential continues to cap upside. Recent Brent crude prices above $105 per barrel, driven by Middle East tensions, have lifted inflation expectations on both sides of the Atlantic and prompted markets to reassess the likelihood of further ECB tightening. The pair has traded in a 1.14–1.20 range year-to-date, recently near 1.17, reflecting resilience in eurozone data offset by persistent dollar support from U.S. growth momentum. Key near-term catalysts include the June ECB policy meeting and upcoming U.S. inflation and employment releases, which will clarify whether the current policy gap narrows further or widens.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$74,044 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 1.40
7%
↑ 1.35
11%
↑ 1.30
30%
↑ 1.26
24%
↑ 1.24
55%
↑ 1.22
55%
↑ 1.20
63%
↓ 1.14
78%
↓ 1.12
39%
↓ 1.10
19%
↓ 1.05
9%
↓ 1.00
5%
$74,044 Wol.
↑ 1.40
$1,491 Wol.
7%
↑ 1.35
$981 Wol.
11%
↑ 1.30
$609 Wol.
30%
↑ 1.26
$2,748 Wol.
24%
↑ 1.24
$1,815 Wol.
55%
↑ 1.22
$320 Wol.
55%
↑ 1.20
$40,261 Wol.
63%
↓ 1.14
$5,583 Wol.
78%
↓ 1.12
$1,814 Wol.
39%
↓ 1.10
$2,636 Wol.
19%
↓ 1.05
$2,745 Wol.
9%
↓ 1.00
$3,181 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment heading into the second half of 2026. With the Fed holding its target range at 3.50%–3.75% and futures pricing limited additional easing, while the ECB maintains its deposit rate at 2.15% amid euro-area headline inflation near 2.5–3.0%, the narrowing rate differential continues to cap upside. Recent Brent crude prices above $105 per barrel, driven by Middle East tensions, have lifted inflation expectations on both sides of the Atlantic and prompted markets to reassess the likelihood of further ECB tightening. The pair has traded in a 1.14–1.20 range year-to-date, recently near 1.17, reflecting resilience in eurozone data offset by persistent dollar support from U.S. growth momentum. Key near-term catalysts include the June ECB policy meeting and upcoming U.S. inflation and employment releases, which will clarify whether the current policy gap narrows further or widens.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Rynek otwarty: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Wolumen
$74,044Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment heading into the second half of 2026. With the Fed holding its target range at 3.50%–3.75% and futures pricing limited additional easing, while the ECB maintains its deposit rate at 2.15% amid euro-area headline inflation near 2.5–3.0%, the narrowing rate differential continues to cap upside. Recent Brent crude prices above $105 per barrel, driven by Middle East tensions, have lifted inflation expectations on both sides of the Atlantic and prompted markets to reassess the likelihood of further ECB tightening. The pair has traded in a 1.14–1.20 range year-to-date, recently near 1.17, reflecting resilience in eurozone data offset by persistent dollar support from U.S. growth momentum. Key near-term catalysts include the June ECB policy meeting and upcoming U.S. inflation and employment releases, which will clarify whether the current policy gap narrows further or widens.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Wolumen
$74,044Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment heading into the second half of 2026. With the Fed holding its target range at 3.50%–3.75% and futures pricing limited additional easing, while the ECB maintains its deposit rate at 2.15% amid euro-area headline inflation near 2.5–3.0%, the narrowing rate differential continues to cap upside. Recent Brent crude prices above $105 per barrel, driven by Middle East tensions, have lifted inflation expectations on both sides of the Atlantic and prompted markets to reassess the likelihood of further ECB tightening. The pair has traded in a 1.14–1.20 range year-to-date, recently near 1.17, reflecting resilience in eurozone data offset by persistent dollar support from U.S. growth momentum. Key near-term catalysts include the June ECB policy meeting and upcoming U.S. inflation and employment releases, which will clarify whether the current policy gap narrows further or widens.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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