Monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Federal Reserve remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in August 2026, with the pair trading near 1.1567 after rebounding from March lows. Eurozone inflation climbed to 2.9% in July while wage growth accelerated, prompting markets to price in a potential 25 basis point ECB deposit rate hike in September; in contrast, Fed rate-hike expectations have eased. This relative hawkishness has supported the euro against a softer dollar amid elevated oil prices and shifting Middle East developments. Traders are monitoring September central-bank meetings and upcoming inflation prints for clearer signals on the 2026 rate path, with resistance near 1.18–1.20 and support clustered around 1.14–1.15 defining near-term ranges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$88,865 Wol.
↑ 1.40
3%
↑ 1.35
3%
↑ 1.30
7%
↑ 1.26
8%
↑ 1.24
9%
↑ 1.22
21%
↑ 1.20
27%
↓ 1.12
40%
↓ 1.10
40%
↓ 1.05
9%
↓ 1.00
6%
$88,865 Wol.
↑ 1.40
3%
↑ 1.35
3%
↑ 1.30
7%
↑ 1.26
8%
↑ 1.24
9%
↑ 1.22
21%
↑ 1.20
27%
↓ 1.12
40%
↓ 1.10
40%
↓ 1.05
9%
↓ 1.00
6%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Rynek otwarty: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Federal Reserve remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in August 2026, with the pair trading near 1.1567 after rebounding from March lows. Eurozone inflation climbed to 2.9% in July while wage growth accelerated, prompting markets to price in a potential 25 basis point ECB deposit rate hike in September; in contrast, Fed rate-hike expectations have eased. This relative hawkishness has supported the euro against a softer dollar amid elevated oil prices and shifting Middle East developments. Traders are monitoring September central-bank meetings and upcoming inflation prints for clearer signals on the 2026 rate path, with resistance near 1.18–1.20 and support clustered around 1.14–1.15 defining near-term ranges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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