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icon for Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Polityka·Wybory W Kolumbii

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

icon for Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Polityka·Wybory W Kolumbii

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 85%

1st Round Outright Winner 7.5%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 7%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%

Polymarket

$11,604 Wol.

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 85%

1st Round Outright Winner 7.5%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 7%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%

Polymarket

$11,604 Wol.

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro

$4,246 Wol.

85%

1st Round Outright Winner

$2,073 Wol.

7%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro

$2,488 Wol.

7%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia

$1,534 Wol.

<1%

Other

$1,263 Wol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leads recent polling as the candidate most likely to advance from the May 31 first round, positioning him as the frontrunner in a contest shaped by voter preferences for continuity with the outgoing administration's agenda. Abelardo de la Espriella, running on a hard-line security platform under the National Salvation Movement, holds second place in surveys and has pulled ahead of center-right rival Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Center in the battle for runoff qualification. Recent campaign violence, including the killing of two de la Espriella staffers in Meta department, has underscored security concerns that dominate voter priorities two weeks before the vote. Traders assign high probability to a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff because current polling averages show no candidate near the 50 percent threshold for an outright win and de la Espriella maintaining a consistent edge over Valencia among conservative voters. Upcoming debates and final-week mobilization could still shift the narrow margins separating the right-wing contenders.

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Wolumen
$11,604
Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leads recent polling as the candidate most likely to advance from the May 31 first round, positioning him as the frontrunner in a contest shaped by voter preferences for continuity with the outgoing administration's agenda. Abelardo de la Espriella, running on a hard-line security platform under the National Salvation Movement, holds second place in surveys and has pulled ahead of center-right rival Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Center in the battle for runoff qualification. Recent campaign violence, including the killing of two de la Espriella staffers in Meta department, has underscored security concerns that dominate voter priorities two weeks before the vote. Traders assign high probability to a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff because current polling averages show no candidate near the 50 percent threshold for an outright win and de la Espriella maintaining a consistent edge over Valencia among conservative voters. Upcoming debates and final-week mobilization could still shift the narrow margins separating the right-wing contenders.

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Wolumen
$11,604
Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro" z 85%, za nim "1st Round Outright Winner" z 7%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 85¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 85% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?" wygenerował $11.6K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 13, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?", przeglądaj 5 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?" jest "Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro" z 85%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 85% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "1st Round Outright Winner" z 7%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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