A federal lawsuit challenging Truth Social’s $100,000-per-month Truth API service for early access to President Trump’s posts was filed on August 12 in the Southern District of New York, alleging First Amendment violations through unequal access to official announcements. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued as of late August. Federal district court timelines for briefing, argument, and any preliminary injunction decision typically span weeks or months, leaving limited opportunity before the October 31 deadline. The service continues operating with reported subscribers, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability against a court block by that date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCourts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?
11% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 31, 2026
11% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal lawsuit challenging Truth Social’s $100,000-per-month Truth API service for early access to President Trump’s posts was filed on August 12 in the Southern District of New York, alleging First Amendment violations through unequal access to official announcements. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued as of late August. Federal district court timelines for briefing, argument, and any preliminary injunction decision typically span weeks or months, leaving limited opportunity before the October 31 deadline. The service continues operating with reported subscribers, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability against a court block by that date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Wolumen
$601Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal lawsuit challenging Truth Social’s $100,000-per-month Truth API service for early access to President Trump’s posts was filed on August 12 in the Southern District of New York, alleging First Amendment violations through unequal access to official announcements. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued as of late August. Federal district court timelines for briefing, argument, and any preliminary injunction decision typically span weeks or months, leaving limited opportunity before the October 31 deadline. The service continues operating with reported subscribers, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability against a court block by that date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$601Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal lawsuit challenging Truth Social’s $100,000-per-month Truth API service for early access to President Trump’s posts was filed on August 12 in the Southern District of New York, alleging First Amendment violations through unequal access to official announcements. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued as of late August. Federal district court timelines for briefing, argument, and any preliminary injunction decision typically span weeks or months, leaving limited opportunity before the October 31 deadline. The service continues operating with reported subscribers, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability against a court block by that date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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